Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 12

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer		Stade Gabèsien

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.98	4.35
	1.81	3.04	4.42
	1.87	2.93	4.62	Watch
	1.83	2.9	4.33
	1.86	3.2	4.34
	1.83	3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.98)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	4.43 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
49.3%

Draw
30.2%

Stade Gabèsien
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29.9%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

31.2%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Stade Gabèsien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Gabèsien than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer - Stade Gabèsien Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Jihinaoui H. (Penalty Awarded),
42', 1 - 1, Jerbi W. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, Derguech F. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue Professionnelle 1).

Progrès Sakiet is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stade Gabèsien is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Progrès Sakiet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Progrès Sakiet might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Progrès Sakiet won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Progrès Sakiet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
Tunisian Ligue 2
30.11.25	Djelma - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Korba - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	0:3 ✺
15.11.25	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer - Kasserine	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Kalaâ - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer - Moknine	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWLW
- Stade Gabèsien
Tunisian Ligue 2
30.11.25	Stade Gabèsien - Kasserine	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Kalaâ - Stade Gabèsien	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Stade Gabèsien - Moknine	4:1 ✺
12.11.25	Stade Gabèsien - Ariana	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sidi Bouzid - Stade Gabèsien	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
23.05.25	Stade Gabèsien - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	1:2
05.01.25	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer - Stade Gabèsien	1:0

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer - Stade Gabèsien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide