Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 29

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Progresso		Pro Palazzolo

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.92	2.2
	3.14	2.87	2.28
	3.26	3	2.2	Watch
	3.25	2.7	2.25
	3.12	3.22	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.04)	2.94 ↓ (3.1)	2.24 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresso
28.5%

Draw
30.9%

Pro Palazzolo
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29.4%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

28.4%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Pro Palazzolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Palazzolo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Progresso - Pro Palazzolo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6).

Progresso has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pro Palazzolo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pro Palazzolo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Progresso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Pro Palazzolo - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.68%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
22.03.26	Piacenza - Progresso	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Progresso - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Pistoiese - Progresso	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Progresso - Rovato Vertovese	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Imolese - Progresso	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLTT
- Pro Palazzolo
Italian Serie D - Group D
22.03.26	Pro Palazzolo - SantAngelo	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Tuttocuoio - Pro Palazzolo	0:4 ✺
01.03.26	Pro Palazzolo - Lentigione	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Piacenza - Pro Palazzolo	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Pro Palazzolo - Correggese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
16.11.25	Pro Palazzolo - Progresso	2:0

Progresso - Pro Palazzolo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide