Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Progresso		Piacenza

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.2	1.88
	3.7	3.23	1.9
	3.18	3.31	2.10	Watch
	3.84	3.53	1.9
	3.95	3.45	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.05)	3.34 ↑ (3.15)	1.92 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresso
24.9%

Draw
27.4%

Piacenza
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

28.4%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Piacenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Piacenza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Progresso - Piacenza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Progresso (1.79) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Progresso (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Progresso is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Piacenza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Piacenza will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Progresso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
02.11.25	Sangiuliano City Nova - Progresso	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Progresso - Pistoiese	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Rovato Vertovese - Progresso	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Progresso - Imolese	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Piacenza - Progresso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTLL
- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Italian Serie D - Group D
02.11.25	Piacenza - Correggese	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Tuttocuoio - Piacenza	2:4 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Pavia - Piacenza	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.10.25	Pro Palazzolo - Piacenza	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Piacenza - Sasso Marconi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Piacenza - Progresso	2:1
Italian Serie D - Group D
02.02.25	Piacenza - Progresso	0:1

Progresso - Piacenza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide