Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Progresso		Prato

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.6	2.95	2.65
	2.88	2.79	2.5
	2.88	2.88	2.54
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.82	2.89	2.44
	2.6	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.55)	2.92 ↓ (2.93)	2.6 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresso
34%

Draw
31.1%

Prato
34.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.6%

30.9%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

30.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prato than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Progresso - Prato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 10).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Prato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Progresso won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Progresso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
01.12.24	Progresso - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Progresso - Cittadella Vis Modena	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Fiorenzuola - Progresso	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Progresso - Tau Altopascio	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Corticella - Progresso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWWL
- AC Prato
Italian Serie D - Group D
08.12.24	Prato - Corticella	3:0 ✺
01.12.24	Cittadella Vis Modena - Prato	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Tau Altopascio - Prato	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Prato - United Riccione	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Forlì - Prato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
04.02.24	Prato - Progresso	1:0
14.04.22	Prato - Progresso	1:1
04.12.21	Progresso - Prato	3:1
28.02.21	Progresso - Prato	0:2
11.10.20	Prato - Progresso	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Prato
Coppa Italia Serie D
28.10.26	Prato - Ternana	✺

Progresso - Prato