Match Info
Serie D - Group D - Round 23Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday
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Progresso |
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Cittadella Vis Modena |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.72 |
2.92 |
2.48 |
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 |
2.71 |
2.8 |
2.54 |
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 |
3.47 |
2.29 |
2.76 |
 Watch |
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2.7 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
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2.7 |
2.88 |
2.54 |
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2.8 |
2.83 |
2.57 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↑
(2.68) |
2.74 ↓
(3.15) |
2.57 ↑
(2.38) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Progresso
31.7% | Draw
33% | Cittadella Vis Modena
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Cittadella Vis Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella Vis Modena than the current prediction. (+2.5%)Progresso - Cittadella Vis Modena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6).Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Cittadella Vis M may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Cittadella Vis M has had a series of home games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Progresso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).Including home match between the teams, Progresso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 10 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group D | | | 05.10.25 | Cittadella Vis Modena - Progresso | 1:2 | | 06.04.25 | Cittadella Vis Modena - Progresso | 1:1 | | 24.11.24 | Progresso - Cittadella Vis Modena | 0:0 |
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