Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 8

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Progrès Niedercorn		Racing Luxembourg

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.30	2.75
	2.25	3.15	2.75
	2.25	3.34	2.88
	2.27	3.38	2.85	Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.8
	2.21	3.25	2.86
	2.26	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.32)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	2.81 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progrès Niedercorn
40.3%

Draw
27.6%

Racing Luxembourg
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

29.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progrès Niedercorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Racing Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Luxembourg than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Progrès Niedercorn - Racing Luxembourg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 2.

Progrès Niedercorn has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Racing Luxembourg is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Racing Luxembourg has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:31. (average 2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Progrès Niedercorn won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Racing Luxembourg	8	5	2	1	21:8	13	17
5	Niedercorn	8	5	1	2	13:5	8	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
12.09.26	Wiltz 71 - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Rumelange	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Progrès Niedercorn	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Progrès Niedercorn - UNA Strassen	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Atert Bissen - Progrès Niedercorn	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLLW
- Racing Luxembourg
Luxembourg National Division
12.09.26	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Esch	5:1 ✺
06.09.26	F91 Dudelange - Racing Luxembourg	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Racing Luxembourg - Victoria Rosport	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Racing Luxembourg - Swift Hesperange	5:0 ✺
02.08.26	Racing Luxembourg - Käerjéng 97	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
18.04.26	Racing Luxembourg - Progrès Niedercorn	2:2
25.10.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Racing Luxembourg	1:3
29.03.25	Racing Luxembourg - Progrès Niedercorn	1:3
30.10.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Racing Luxembourg	1:1
14.04.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Racing Luxembourg	2:1
22.10.23	Racing Luxembourg - Progrès Niedercorn	3:3
02.04.23	Racing Luxembourg - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2

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