Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 25

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Achille Hammerel (Luxembourg)


	Racing Luxembourg		Progrès Niedercorn

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.1	2.78
	2.41	3.17	2.88
	2.35	3.23	2.84	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.8
	2.41	3.45	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.28)	3.17 ↓ (3.28)	2.81 (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Luxembourg
38.7%

Draw
28.8%

Progrès Niedercorn
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

26.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Progrès Niedercorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Luxembourg than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Racing Luxembourg - Progrès Niedercorn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ruffier R. (G) 40. Ballicalioglu V. 20. Fonrose F. 3. Hofland M. 10. Ikene F. 8. Kante M. 21. Mabanza C. 31. Matubanzila S. 29. Matuvangua R. 30. Monge N. 19. Qevani A.	1. Flauss S. (G) 73. Ahmetxjekaj A. 99. Baradji I. 19. Bouche Y. 77. Corral K. 11. Gilgemann M. 26. Hend B. 10. Natami O. 29. Oger M. 27. Peugnet V. 15. Vion T.
Substitutes
99. Azemi E. (G) 37. Bisevac A. 77. Dewalque L. 11. Diakhite A. 38. Iserentant Y. 23. Lukoki W. 7. Stolz D.	31. Alves Margato J. (G) 80. Avdusinovic K. 23. Duarte C. 28. Guett A. 71. Hoxha F. 14. Sacras C. 7. Schmid J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing Luxembourg won 1.

Racing Luxembourg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Progrès Niedercorn has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing Luxembourg won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:39. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing Luxembourg won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.9:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Racing Luxembourg	8	5	2	1	21:8	13	17
5	Niedercorn	8	5	1	2	13:5	8	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Luxembourg
Luxembourg National Division
12.04.26	UNA Strassen - Racing Luxembourg	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Racing Luxembourg - Pétange	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Victoria Rosport - Racing Luxembourg	3:4 ✺
14.03.26	Racing Luxembourg - Swift Hesperange	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Racing Luxembourg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWWW
- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
12.04.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Mamer	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Atert Bissen - Progrès Niedercorn	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Käerjéng 97	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Hostert - Progrès Niedercorn	1:5 ✺
08.03.26	UNA Strassen - Progrès Niedercorn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
25.10.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Racing Luxembourg	1:3
29.03.25	Racing Luxembourg - Progrès Niedercorn	1:3
30.10.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Racing Luxembourg	1:1
14.04.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Racing Luxembourg	2:1
22.10.23	Racing Luxembourg - Progrès Niedercorn	3:3
02.04.23	Racing Luxembourg - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2
16.10.22	Progrès Niedercorn - Racing Luxembourg	0:0

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