Match Info

CHILE: Chilean Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday


	Provincial Osorno		Deportes Temuco

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.91	Watch
	3.3	3.3	1.93
				Watch
	3.51	3.42	1.99
	3.51	3.42	1.97
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	3.46	3.46	1.93	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.49)	3.4 ↓ (3.42)	1.94 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provincial Osorno
26.3%

Draw
26.8%

Deportes Temuco
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

26.4%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

25.2%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provincial Osorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Deportes Temuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provincial Osorno than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Temuco than the current prediction. (+3%)

Provincial Osorno - Deportes Temuco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, (Own goal),
12', 0 - 2, Cortes F. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Melo B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 2, Orellana M. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

Recent matches Provincial Osorno is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Deportes Temuco is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Provincial Osorno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Deportes Temuco will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Provincial Osorno
Chilean Segunda Division
26.05.24	Real San Joaquín - Provincial Osorno	3:3 ✺
18.05.24	Provincial Osorno - Deportes Melipilla	3:3 ✺
11.05.24	Deportes Rengo - Provincial Osorno	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Provincial Osorno - Deportes Linares	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Provincial Osorno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTTTL
- Deportes Temuco
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
01.06.24	Deportes Temuco - Deportes La Serena	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Temuco	2:1 ✺
18.05.24	Deportes Temuco - Barnechea	0:1 ✺
13.05.24	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Temuco	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTT

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