Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 15

Date: 20 June 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal Leonel Sánchez Lineros (Recoleta)


	Deportes Recoleta		Deportes Temuco

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	2.13	3.11	3.55
				Watch
	2	3	3.75
	2.1	3.28	3.48	Watch
	2.14	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.17)	3.15 ↓ (3.25)	3.48 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Recoleta
44.5%

Draw
29.1%

Deportes Temuco
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.3%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.6%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Deportes Temuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Temuco than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Temuco Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vargas J. (G) 3. Alarcon F. 11. Viveros D. 12. Alvarado F. 18. Cepeda C. 8. Martin F. (C) 10. Arguinarena M. 17. Carvajal N. 16. Salazar D. 19. Salinas Aguilar O. 37. Valdes B.	13. Urra Y. (G) 4. Pereyra F. 6. Contreras P. 17. Villegas Jara G. 20. Lavin V. 31. Magnasco S. 8. Troncoso B. 27. Nunez C. 30. Buonanotte D. 9. Acevedo L. 19. Gonzalez D.
Substitutes
1. Kirkman E. (G) 14. Lara I. 20. Lemmo I. 21. Marin C. 23. Navarro C. 27. Servetti C. 26. Vasquez V.	12. Aros V. 7. Castro Gutierrez J. 1. Garrido J. (G) 5. Lettieri E. 14. Orrego N. 16. Riveros R. 28. Torrealba M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Salinas Aguilar O. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽,
26', Martin F. 🟨,
30', Cepeda C. 🟨,
32', Salinas Aguilar O. ↓, Lemmo I. ↑,
35', Magnasco S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Alvarado F. ↓, Lara I. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Acevedo L. ⚽,
57', 2 - 2, Valdes B. ⚽,
62', Contreras P. 🟨,
62', Carvajal N. 🟨,
72', Carvajal N. ↓, Marin C. ↑,
73', Contreras P. ↓, Torrealba M. ↑,
74', Arguinarena M. 🟨,
75', Valdes B. 🟨,
77', Magnasco S. ↓, Lettieri E. ↑,
81', Nunez C. 🟥,
85', Salazar D. ↓, Vasquez V. ↑,
90', Acevedo L. ↓, Castro Gutierrez J. ↑,
90', Gonzalez D. ↓, Orrego N. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 2.

Recent performances by Recoleta have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportes Temuco is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Deportes Temuco has had a series of home games.

Recoleta could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Recoleta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
14.06.25	Curicó Unido - Deportes Recoleta	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Recoleta	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Deportes Recoleta - San Luis de Quillota	3:1 ✺
24.05.25	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Recoleta	3:0 ✺
17.05.25	Deportes Recoleta - Cobreloa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTWLL
- Deportes Temuco
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
14.06.25	Deportes Temuco - Universidad de Concepción	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
07.06.25	Deportes Temuco - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.05.25	Deportes Temuco - Cobreloa	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Temuco	2:3 ✺
18.05.25	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Magallanes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
13.10.24	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Recoleta	2:3
26.05.24	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Temuco	2:1
09.07.23	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Temuco	2:2
20.02.23	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Recoleta	1:1
08.10.22	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Recoleta	2:2
11.05.22	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Temuco	2:1

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