Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 23

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Bicentenario La Granja (Curicó)


	Curicó Unido		Deportes Temuco

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.02	3.25	3.4
	2	3.26	3.58
	2.89	2.06	4.12	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.05	3.34	3.39
	1.97	3.38	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	3.48 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curicó Unido
42.7%

Draw
30.7%

Deportes Temuco
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.7%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.5%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curicó Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Deportes Temuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Temuco than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Curicó Unido - Deportes Temuco Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Curicó Unido will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Munoz H. (G) 14. Gonzalez J. 21. Ormazabal M. 17. Meneses C. 6. Oliver F. 4. Guisolfo B. 15. Sanhueza H. 24. Saez W. 10. Rojas D. 8. Leiva Y. 7. Fernandez N.	13. Urra Y. (G) 2. Penailillo A. 4. Pereyra F. 20. Lavin V. 17. Villegas Jara G. 23. Jaime J. 27. Nunez C. 8. Troncoso B. 30. Buonanotte D. 19. Gonzalez D. 18. Donoso M.
Substitutes
39. Alfaro J. 23. Barrios N. 18. Ortiz F. 11. Perez F. 29. Quinteros M. 35. Valdes F. 1. Vergara T. (G)	6. Contreras P. 1. Garrido J. (G) 5. Lettieri E. 14. Orrego N. 11. Reynero F. 16. Riveros R. 28. Torrealba M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Troncoso B. ⚽,
45+1', Guisolfo B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Penailillo A. 🟨,
53', Leiva Y. 🟨,
54', Buonanotte D. 🟨,
66', Fernandez N. 🟨,
84', Leiva Y. 🟨,
90', Rojas D. 🟥,
90', Pereyra F. 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 11)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Deportes Temuco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Curicó Unido is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Curicó Unido won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Curicó Unido - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.68%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Deportes Temuco - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 29.6%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curicó Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
24.08.25	Deportes Santa Cruz - Curicó Unido	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Curicó Unido - Rangers de Talca	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Deportes Concepción - Curicó Unido	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Deportes Magallanes - Curicó Unido	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Curicó Unido - Santiago Morning	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTTL
- Deportes Temuco
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.08.25	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Temuco	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Deportes Temuco - Santiago Wanderers	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Temuco	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Antofagasta	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Temuco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
26.04.25	Deportes Temuco - Curicó Unido	0:0
08.09.24	Deportes Temuco - Curicó Unido	1:1
27.04.24	Curicó Unido - Deportes Temuco	0:0
Chilean Primera Division
28.10.18	Deportes Temuco - Curicó Unido	1:2
31.03.18	Curicó Unido - Deportes Temuco	1:1
09.09.17	Curicó Unido - Deportes Temuco	1:1
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
01.02.16	Curicó Unido - Deportes Temuco	2:0

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