Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 8

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Pintana (Santiago de Chile)


	San Antonio Unido		Provincial Osorno

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.21	3.4	2.85
	2.22	3.51	2.86
	2.21	3.46	2.88	Watch
	2.24	3.26	3.16
	2.21	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.01)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	2.93 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio Unido
41.5%

Draw
27.3%

Provincial Osorno
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.2%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Provincial Osorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Provincial Osorno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio Unido than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Antonio Unido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provincial Osorno than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Provincial Osorno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Antonio Unido - Provincial Osorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Veloso Espinoza N. (G) 8. Arancibia J. 19. Diaz C. 2. Hidalgo K. 20. Lara Collao M. A. 14. Nunez D. 3. Piro Y. 27. Reyes J. 22. Riquelme A. 25. Sandoval M. 18. Tellas G.	1. Matamala D. (G) 9. Bielkiewicz D. 15. Caceres B. 20. Castro G. 8. Gutierrez J. 32. Lauler G. 29. Meneses L. 10. Orellana M. 14. Pezoa M. D. A. 33. Sanguinetti F. 18. Suazo Y.
Substitutes
16. Acevedo D. 30. Cabello S. (G) 28. Cereceda R. 9. Cuellar D. 5. Fiamengo D. 31. Lucero N. 23. Melendez R.	4. Ambiado A. 11. Ayala Rodriguez S. A. 12. Faundez H. (G) 7. Fuenzalida R. 31. Maureira M. 23. Melo B. 25. Namoncura S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Caceres B. ↓, Ambiado A. ↑,
37', Lara Collao M. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Bielkiewicz D. ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, Hidalgo K. ⚽,
62', Piro Y. 🟨,
64', Castro G. 🟨,
71', 1 - 2, Bielkiewicz D. ⚽,
73', Pezoa M. D. A. ↓, Maureira M. ↑,
73', Orellana M. ↓, Fuenzalida R. ↑,
76', Arancibia J. ↓, Melendez R. ↑,
82', Nunez D. ↓, Cuellar D. ↑,
82', Diaz C. ↓, Acevedo D. ↑,
87', Lauler G. 🟨,
89', Melendez R. 🟨,
90+1', Reyes J. ↓, Lucero N. ↑,
90+1', Gutierrez J. ↓, Namoncura S. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Provincial Osorno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

San Antonio Unido might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Antonio Unido won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio Unido won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio Unido
Chilean Segunda Division
26.04.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - San Antonio Unido	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Rengo	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Brujas Salamanca - San Antonio Unido	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	San Antonio Unido - Real San Joaquín	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	San Antonio Unido - Provincial Ovalle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTL
- Provincial Osorno
Chilean Segunda Division
17.04.25	Deportes Linares - Provincial Osorno	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Provincial Osorno - Concón National	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Provincial Ovalle - Provincial Osorno	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Provincial Osorno - Trasandino de Los Andes	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	General Velásquez - Provincial Osorno	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
24.08.24	Provincial Osorno - San Antonio Unido	1:1
15.04.24	San Antonio Unido - Provincial Osorno	3:2
07.10.23	San Antonio Unido - Provincial Osorno	0:3
28.05.23	Provincial Osorno - San Antonio Unido	0:1

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