Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 4

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Diaguita (Ovalle)


	Provincial Ovalle		Provincial Osorno

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.65
	2.49	3.25	2.64	Watch
	2.45	3.13	2.62
	2.5	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.4)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	2.64 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provincial Ovalle
36.6%

Draw
28.9%

Provincial Osorno
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.2%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provincial Ovalle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Provincial Osorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Provincial Ovalle - Provincial Osorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abarzua F. (G) 24. Avila M. 10. Becerra M. 20. Bobadilla S. 2. Bravo S. 14. Monardes D. 4. Navarrete E. 8. Pavez J. 5. Rivera N. 27. Serrano K. 9. Tolosa T.	1. Matamala D. (G) 9. Bielkiewicz D. 15. Caceres B. 20. Castro G. 21. Fuentes P. 7. Fuenzalida R. 32. Lauler G. 23. Melo B. 29. Meneses L. 25. Namoncura S. 6. Orellana F.
Substitutes
23. Barrios N. 22. Bravo D. 15. Cortes A. 11. Cortes B. 21. Cumian J. 28. Harding G. 12. Orellana G. (G)	30. Abarca J. 11. Ayala Rodriguez S. A. 8. Gutierrez J. 10. Orellana M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Lauler G. 🟨,
19', Fuenzalida R. 🟨,
36', Meneses L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Bravo S. 🟨,
53', 🟨,
55', Pavez J. 🟨,
61', Pavez J. ↓, Harding G. ↑,
61', Bobadilla S. ↓, Bravo D. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Harding G. ⚽,
76', Fuenzalida R. ↓, Abarca J. ↑,
79', Gutierrez J. 🟥,
83', Fuentes P. ↓, Pezoa M. D. A. ↑,
83', Ayala Rodriguez S. A. 🟨,
83', Castro G. ↓, Ayala Rodriguez S. A. ↑,
90', Tolosa T. ↓, Cortes B. ↑,
90', Becerra M. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ovalle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ovalle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Provincial Ovalle FC
Chilean Segunda Division
15.03.25	San Antonio Unido - Provincial Ovalle	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Provincial Ovalle - Santiago City	0:0 ✺
03.03.25	Deportes Rengo - Provincial Ovalle	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Rengo	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Real San Joaquín - Provincial Ovalle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTTWW
- Provincial Osorno
Chilean Segunda Division
15.03.25	Provincial Osorno - Trasandino de Los Andes	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	General Velásquez - Provincial Osorno	3:3 ✺
01.03.25	Provincial Osorno - Deportes Melipilla	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Provincial Osorno - Real San Joaquín	3:2 ✺
12.10.24	Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Osorno	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
10.08.24	Provincial Osorno - Provincial Ovalle	2:1
31.03.24	Provincial Ovalle - Provincial Osorno	4:2

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