The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Provincial Osorno 35.2%
Draw 27.8%
Deportes Puerto Montt 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.2%
27.7%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
26.6%
42.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Provincial Osorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provincial Osorno than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Provincial Osorno that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Puerto Montt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Provincial Osorno - Deportes Puerto Montt Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Provincial Osorno will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Puerto Montt will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Puerto Montt (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Puerto Montt (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Provincial Osorno (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Puerto Montt (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Matamala D. (G) 4. Ambiado A. 9. Bielkiewicz D. 20. Castro G. 21. Fuentes P. 8. Gutierrez J. 32. Lauler G. 10. Orellana M. 33. Sanguinetti F. 18. Suazo Y. 2. Vicencio D.
13. Ureta L. (G) 14. Antinirre H. (C) 20. Bahamonde D. 5. Calisto F. 8. Cardenas J. 6. Diaz D. 16. Ormeno M. 28. Perez S. 4. Riveros M. 10. Vargas C. 9. Vazquez L.
Substitutes
34. Ascui S. 11. Ayala Rodriguez S. A. 12. Faundez H. (G) 7. Fuenzalida R. 31. Maureira M. 23. Melo B. 3. Valenzuela F.
11. Arias J. 25. Bustos G. 1. Catalan K. (G) 7. Lagos M. 21. Toledo M. 27. Torres S. 3. Yanez V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Ambiado A. 🟨,
28', Castro G. 🟨,
34', Lauler G. ↓, Valenzuela F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Diaz D. 🟨,
68', Perez S. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
68', Antinirre H. ↓, Bustos G. ↑,
72', Castro G. ↓, Fuenzalida R. ↑,
72', Orellana M. ↓, Ayala Rodriguez S. A. ↑,
74', Cardenas J. 🟨,
76', Bahamonde D. 🟨,
86', Bahamonde D. ↓, Yanez V. ↑,
87', Vicencio D. 🟨,
90', Fuentes P. ↓, Maureira M. ↑,
90+2', Valenzuela F. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 1, Vazquez L. ⚽,
90+8', 🟥,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Provincial Osorno won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Provincial Osorno won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Watch
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Matamala D. (G) 
Bielkiewicz D. 
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