Match Info

Segunda Division - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Diaguita (Ovalle)


	Provincial Ovalle		Atlético Colina

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.00
	2.20	3.10	2.75
	2.20	3.33	3.12
	2.19	3.38	2.98
	2.15	3.25	2.95
	2.25	3.36	3.06
	2.10	3.20	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.75)	3.25 ↑ (3)	2.99 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provincial Ovalle
41.8%

Draw
27.9%

Atlético Colina
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

29.2%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provincial Ovalle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Provincial Ovalle's performance.

Atlético Colina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Colina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Provincial Ovalle - Atlético Colina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ovalle (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ovalle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Catalan K. (G)
2. Arce L.
4. Contreras S.
28. Cortes B.
29. Duma C.
11. Maluenda L.
13. Maureira M.
5. Millalen E.
20. Rivera Faundez N. A.
6. Soto J.
23. Tarifeno R.
Substitutes
18. Abarca C. (G)
10. Becica A.
26. Bobadilla S.
19. Castro B.
3. Gonzalez C.
7. Julio N.
17. Vega B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Arce L. 🟨,
45+2', Naranjo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Soto J. 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Tarifeno R. ⚽,
56', Maluenda L. ↓, Castro B. ↑,
57', Soto J. 🟨,
57', Munoz M. 🟨,
61', Larenas M. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
70', Naranjo L. ↓, Contreras Medina I. A. ↑,
70', Munoz M. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
75', Cortes B. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
75', Duma C. ↓, Bobadilla S. ↑,
88', Rivera Faundez N. A. 🟥,
90+4', Tarifeno R. ↓, Becica A. ↑,
90+4', Maureira M. ↓, Vega B. ↑,

Preview

Atlético Colina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ovalle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ovalle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Provincial Ovalle FC
Chilean Segunda Division
30.08.26	Santiago Morning - Provincial Ovalle	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	General Velásquez - Provincial Ovalle	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Provincial Ovalle - Atlético Colina	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Santiago City - Provincial Ovalle	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTLWL
- Atlético Colina
Chilean Segunda Division
29.08.26	Atlético Colina - Lota Schwager	0:0 ✺
17.08.26	Santiago Morning - Atlético Colina	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Atlético Colina - Real San Joaquín	5:1 ✺
04.07.26	Provincial Ovalle - Atlético Colina	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Concón National - Atlético Colina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
04.07.26	Provincial Ovalle - Atlético Colina	2:1
02.05.26	Atlético Colina - Provincial Ovalle	2:0

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