Match Info

Segunda Division - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Diaguita (Ovalle)


	Provincial Ovalle		Real San Joaquín

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.20	2.95
	2.30	2.95	2.70
	2.11	3.64	2.92
	2.11	3.69	2.93	Watch
	2.08	3.6	2.85
	2.25	3.45	3
	2.1	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.9)	3.4 ↑ (3.05)	2.91 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provincial Ovalle
42.2%

Draw
26.7%

Real San Joaquín
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28.9%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provincial Ovalle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Provincial Ovalle's performance.

Real San Joaquín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real San Joaquín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Catalan K. (G) 24. Avila M. 10. Becica A. 4. Contreras S. 28. Cortes B. 7. Julio N. 13. Maureira M. 5. Millalen E. 20. Rivera Faundez N. A. 6. Soto J. 23. Tarifeno R.	1. Castellano V. (G) 4. Benavente A. 8. Contreras P. 5. Escalona Armijo M. 31. Espinoza 11. Farias I. 25. Gomez J. 6. Munoz I. (C) 2. Navarrete D. 27. Nunez S. 7. Rojas N.
Substitutes
18. Abarca C. (G) 2. Arce L. 29. Duma C. 3. Gonzalez C. 11. Maluenda L. 25. Rosales F. 17. Vega B.	. Abruzzese . Gonzalez 28. Maureira D. . Mercado 20. Reyes F. 12. Saul A. (G) . Silva

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
23', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
58', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ovalle won 1.

Ovalle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ovalle won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ovalle won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Provincial Ovalle FC
Chilean Segunda Division
16.08.26	General Velásquez - Provincial Ovalle	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Provincial Ovalle - Atlético Colina	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Santiago City - Provincial Ovalle	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín	1:6 ✺
08.06.26	Provincial Ovalle - Trasandino de Los Andes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLT
- Real San Joaquín
Chilean Segunda Division
10.08.26	Real San Joaquín - Santiago Morning	2:2 ✺
12.07.26	Atlético Colina - Real San Joaquín	5:1 ✺
05.07.26	Real San Joaquín - Trasandino de Los Andes	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Brujas Salamanca - Real San Joaquín	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
21.06.26	Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín	1:6
19.04.26	Real San Joaquín - Provincial Ovalle	3:2
08.11.25	Real San Joaquín - Provincial Ovalle	1:0
30.05.25	Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín	0:0
12.10.24	Real San Joaquín - Provincial Ovalle	1:2
19.05.24	Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín	4:0

Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide