Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 6

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Diaguita (Ovalle)


	Provincial Ovalle		Deportes Melipilla

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.4
	2.26	2.95	3.15
	2.42	2.84	3.13
	2.21	2.89	3.45	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.75
	2.57	3.08	2.82	Watch
	2.26	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.64)	3.05 ↓ (3.42)	3.26 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Provincial Ovalle
41.6%

Draw
30.2%

Deportes Melipilla
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.8%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provincial Ovalle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Provincial Ovalle's form might have worsened.

Deportes Melipilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Melipilla's recent form is better than expected.

Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Melipilla Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ovalle (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Melipilla (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Melipilla (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ovalle (votes: 2 - 50%). Melipilla (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abarzua F. (G) 24. Avila M. 23. Barrios N. 10. Becerra M. 2. Bravo S. 18. Mundaca K. 4. Navarrete E. 8. Pavez J. 5. Rivera N. 16. Solano B. 9. Tolosa T.	34. Santelices L. (G) 10. Becica A. 27. Caceres B. 30. Demateis V. 3. Flores E. 2. Gutierrez C. 24. Luarte G. 17. Magana C. 11. Maturana N. 6. Rodriguez M. 9. Vargas L.
Substitutes
22. Bravo D. 11. Cortes B. 21. Cumian J. 28. Harding G. 12. Orellana G. (G) 13. Ortiz J. 6. Riquelme R.	16. Arenas F. 15. Becerra V. 8. Cruz Y. 7. Inostroza B. 20. Sepulveda G. 12. Tapia S. (G) 33. Valencia M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Barrios N. ⚽,
44', Demateis V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, Abarzua F. (Own goal),
57', Mundaca K. 🟨,
61', Magana C. 🟨,
63', Mundaca K. ↓, Harding G. ↑,
63', Tolosa T. ↓, Riquelme R. ↑,
68', Caceres B. ↓, Becerra V. ↑,
68', Maturana N. ↓, Arenas F. ↑,
72', Luarte G. ↓, Cruz Y. ↑,
75', Barrios N. ↓, Bravo D. ↑,
76', Becerra M. ↓, Cortes B. ↑,
80', Magana C. ↓, Sepulveda G. ↑,
80', Vargas L. ↓, Inostroza B. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Sepulveda G. ⚽,
87', Avila M. 🟨,
88', Solano B. 🟨,
90', Avila M. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Ovalle is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Melipilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ovalle will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ovalle won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ovalle won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Provincial Ovalle FC
Chilean Segunda Division
06.04.25	General Velásquez - Provincial Ovalle	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Provincial Ovalle - Provincial Osorno	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	San Antonio Unido - Provincial Ovalle	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Provincial Ovalle - Santiago City	0:0 ✺
03.03.25	Deportes Rengo - Provincial Ovalle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWTT
- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Segunda Division
30.03.25	General Velásquez - Deportes Melipilla	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Deportes Melipilla - Concón National	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Provincial Osorno - Deportes Melipilla	3:1 ✺
31.10.24	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Concepción	1:0 penalties ✺
23.10.24	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Melipilla	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
06.10.24	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Melipilla	1:3
11.05.24	Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Ovalle	1:1

Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Melipilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide