Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 5

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Diaguita (Ovalle)


	Provincial Ovalle		Santiago City

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.3
	2.24	3.44	3
	2.22	3.5	2.85	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.8
	2.22	3.4	3.09
	1.71	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.71)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	3.26 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provincial Ovalle
44.3%

Draw
27.4%

Santiago City
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.7%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provincial Ovalle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Provincial Ovalle's form might have worsened.

Santiago City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santiago City's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Provincial Ovalle - Santiago City Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ovalle will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Santiago City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ovalle (votes: 1 - 50%). Santiago City (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Orellana G. (G)
30. Araya B.
14. Canessa O.
27. Carreno L.
22. Ceron D.
29. Duma C.
11. Maluenda L.
21. Matamala C.
13. Maureira M.
5. Millalen E.
23. Tarifeno R.
Substitutes
24. Avila M.
19. Castro B.
1. Catalan K. (G)
3. Gonzalez C.
15. Oyarzo L.
7. Salazar D.
16. Solano B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Maslovski M. 🟨,
35', Ceron D. 🟨,
41', Maluenda L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Tarifeno R. ↓, Castro B. ↑,
64', Carreno L. ↓, Avila M. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Saez M. ⚽,
79', Araya B. ↓, Oyarzo L. ↑,
86', Diaz A. ↓, Cardenas P. ↑,
86', Taiva B. ↓, Gatica M. ↑,
88', Canessa O. ↓, Salazar D. ↑,
90+4', Ceron D. 🟨,
90+5', Nunez F. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Ovalle is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ovalle won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ovalle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Santiago City	6	4	2	0	9:3	6	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Provincial Ovalle FC
Chilean Segunda Division
19.04.26	Real San Joaquín - Provincial Ovalle	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Trasandino de Los Andes - Provincial Ovalle	4:2 ✺
04.04.26	Provincial Ovalle - Concón National	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Brujas Salamanca - Provincial Ovalle	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - Provincial Ovalle	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLTW
- Santiago City FC
Chilean Segunda Division
18.04.26	Santiago City - Trasandino de Los Andes	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Atlético Colina - Santiago City	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Santiago City - Brujas Salamanca	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Real San Joaquín - Santiago City	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Santiago City - Deportes Melipilla	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
27.07.25	Santiago City - Provincial Ovalle	1:2
10.03.25	Provincial Ovalle - Santiago City	0:0

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