Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 32

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Linarejos (Linares)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Linares Deportivo		Estepona

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.1	2.1
	2.9	3.15	2.4
	3.2	3.39	2.09
	3.22	3.18	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.56)	3.21 ↑ (3.21)	2.18 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
29.4%

Draw
28.6%

Estepona
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

29%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

28.7%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Linares Deportivo's form might have worsened.

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estepona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Linares Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estepona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Linares Deportivo - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Diaz H. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Ale Conteras ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Velazquez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 2 - 2, Herrero A. ⚽,
79', 2 - 3, Ballarin D. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Linares may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Estepona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Linares won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Linares won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CD Estepona	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7
9	Linares	5	2	1	2	6:7	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.04.26	Xerez Deportivo - Linares Deportivo	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Linares Deportivo - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Lorca Deportiva - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Linares Deportivo - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	UCAM Murcia - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWTWT
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.04.26	Almeria B - Estepona	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Estepona - Melilla	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Xerez Deportivo - Estepona	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Estepona - CD Extremadura	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Lorca Deportiva - Estepona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.09.25	Estepona - Linares Deportivo	1:1
16.03.25	Linares Deportivo - Estepona	1:2
03.11.24	Estepona - Linares Deportivo	1:1

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