Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Puente Genil		Malaga B

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.25	6.1
	1.37	4.95	6.86
	1.36	4.92	6.67
	1.51	4.17	6
	1.33	3.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.55)	4.42 ↑ (3.9)	6.33 ↑ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puente Genil
65.1%

Draw
20.5%

Malaga B
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

23.8%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.4%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puente Genil's performance.

Malaga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malaga B than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Puente Genil - Malaga B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Polaco ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Perea G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, Alvarez R. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Malaga B is Relegated to

Puente Genil is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Malaga B has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Malaga B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Puente Genil is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Puente Genil	5	1	1	3	5:5	0	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.04.26	Real Jaén - Puente Genil	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Puente Genil - Minera	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Xerez CD - Puente Genil	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Puente Genil - Yeclano Deportivo	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Linares Deportivo - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTWLL
- Malaga B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.04.26	Malaga B - Antoniano	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	UCAM Murcia - Malaga B	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Malaga B - Real Jaén	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	La Unión - Malaga B	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Yeclano Deportivo - Malaga B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLWLL

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