Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo de la Constitucion (Yecla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Yeclano Deportivo		Malaga B

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.41	3.95	6.9
	1.43	4.28	7.33
	1.42	4.14	7.05
	1.4	3.8	7
	1.51	3.86	6.79
	1.5	3.75	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)	3.97 ↑ (3.75)	6.76 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeclano Deportivo
63.5%

Draw
23%

Malaga B
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

24.1%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

18.6%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeclano Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Malaga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeclano Deportivo than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yeclano Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malaga B than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malaga B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yeclano Deportivo - Malaga B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Gomez Meneses J. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, de Vicente J. ⚽,
62', 3 - 0, Borona J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Yeclano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Malaga B is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Yeclano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Yeclano is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeclano Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.03.26	Real Jaén - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Yeclano Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Xerez CD - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Yeclano Deportivo - La Unión	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Recreativo Huelva - Yeclano Deportivo	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWL
- Malaga B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.03.26	Malaga B - Xerez CD	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Minera - Malaga B	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Malaga B - Linares Deportivo	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Águilas - Malaga B	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Malaga B - Lorca Deportiva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLT

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