Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	12:00	Footballclub


	Puente Genil		Tamaraceite

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	3.70
	1.82	3.10	3.95
	1.83	3.35	4.42
	1.85	3.32	4.08	Watch
	1.78	3.30	4.35
	1.90	3.63	3.73
	1.86	3.20	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.37)	3.31 ↑ (3.01)	4.03 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puente Genil
49.7%

Draw
27.6%

Tamaraceite
22.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.6%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puente Genil's performance.

Tamaraceite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tamaraceite might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puente Genil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tamaraceite could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Puente Genil - Tamaraceite Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 17th in the Relegation).

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

In this matchup, Puente Genil is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Puente Genil	8	3	2	3	8:6	2	11
16	Tamaraceite	8	2	0	6	7:15	-8	6

Last Results with these Odds

Puente Genil - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 37.64%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Tamaraceite - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 32.79%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.10.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Puente Genil - Marbella	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Puente Genil - Estepona	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Recreativo Huelva - Puente Genil	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Pozoblanco - Puente Genil	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLW
- UD Tamaraceite
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.10.26	Tamaraceite - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Tamaraceite	6:2 ✺
20.09.26	Tamaraceite - Recreativo Huelva	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Tamaraceite - Sevilla B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

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