The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puerto Nuevo 47.3%
Draw 31.4%
Deportivo Paraguayo 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
30.3%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
30.5%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puerto Nuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puerto Nuevo's performance.
Deportivo Paraguayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Paraguayo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Paraguayo than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Paraguayo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Puerto Nuevo - Deportivo Paraguayo Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Puerto Nuevo will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Mendoza J. P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, Mendoza J. P. ⚽,
56', Cahiza I. 🟥,
70', 0 - 3, Ortiz R. ⚽,
76', 1 - 3, Lopez Rinaldi O. ⚽,
82', 2 - 3, Escobar M. ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Puerto Nuevo (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Deportivo Paraguayo have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Puerto Nuevo carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Puerto Nuevo has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:6 (averaging 1.4:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Puerto Nuevo against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Paraguayo - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.51%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.