The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puerto Nuevo 31.3%
Draw 32.7%
Deportivo Yupanqui 36%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.7%
28.7%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
28%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puerto Nuevo's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Yupanqui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puerto Nuevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Yupanqui than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Puerto Nuevo - Deportivo Yupanqui Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Escobar M. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Martinez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 2 - 1, Salomone S. ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, Melono A. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Nuevo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).