Match Info

Primera C - Round 27

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Puerto Nuevo		Lugano

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.70	2.60
	2.60	2.80	2.63	Watch
	2.89	2.55	2.68
	2.85	2.7	2.7	Watch
	2.85	2.50	2.65
	2.73	3.04	2.68
	2.70	2.80	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.6)	2.73 ↓ (2.95)	2.64 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puerto Nuevo
32.7%

Draw
33.1%

Lugano
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

30.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

30.8%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Puerto Nuevo - Lugano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Soria R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Puerto Nuevo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Nuevo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Puerto Nuevo - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.47%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Lugano - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.15%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Puerto Nuevo
Argentinian Primera C
30.08.26	Leandro N. Alem - Puerto Nuevo	0:3 ✺
23.08.26	Puerto Nuevo - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Puerto Nuevo - Deportivo Yupanqui	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Puerto Nuevo	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Puerto Nuevo - Sacachispas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLTTW
- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
31.08.26	Lugano - Berazategui	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Leandro N. Alem - Lugano	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Lugano - Club Luján	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Lugano - Victoriano Arenas	0:0 ✺
31.07.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Lugano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
10.05.26	Lugano - Puerto Nuevo	3:0
03.08.25	Lugano - Puerto Nuevo	1:0
19.04.25	Puerto Nuevo - Lugano	1:0
09.11.24	Puerto Nuevo - Lugano	0:0
08.06.24	Lugano - Puerto Nuevo	0:4
Argentinian Primera D
13.10.21	Lugano - Puerto Nuevo	3:2
28.06.21	Puerto Nuevo - Lugano	5:2

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