Match Info

Kakkonen Group A

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Puistolan liikuntapuisto (Helsinki)


	Puistolan Urheilijat		Grankulla IFK

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	2.65
	2.26	3.7	2.7
	2.21	3.76	2.63
	2.27	3.78	2.58	Watch
	2.26	3.66	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.77)	3.7 ↓ (4)	2.66 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puistolan Urheilijat
41.1%

Draw
24.6%

Grankulla IFK
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

22.9%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

22%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puistolan Urheilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puistolan Urheilijat's form might have worsened.

Grankulla IFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grankulla IFK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puistolan Urheilijat than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puistolan Urheilijat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grankulla IFK than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grankulla IFK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Puistolan Urheilijat - Grankulla IFK Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - GrIFK (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. GrIFK (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Korkiakoski T. (G) 66. Cikala-Cimanga W. 11. Eranka S. 18. Honkaniemi T. (C) 8. Kivela E. 13. Lindstrom K. 22. Mehmeti E. 16. Rearte M. 6. Sapienza J. 23. Tolli J. 17. Varila V.	12. Prevedouros C. (G) 2. Andersson A. 18. Arima S. 26. Bergman J. 11. Brahimi L. 7. Deen T. 4. Kouyate B. 9. Leivo J. 10. Ndongala J. (C) 27. Norhomaa N. 8. Rubensson V.
Substitutes
2. Abdirashid I. 20. Aijala V. 15. Assehnoun H. 19. Desalegen M. 25. Honkaniemi T. (G) 1. Makkonen T. (G) 5. Mohamed H. 14. Retamal V. 7. Sinkkila T.	15. Aethe A. 16. Beijar A. 28. Gela X. 23. Kallio A. 21. Mustalampi J. 20. Riihilahti K. 1. Rintamaki O. (G) 6. Tahiri K. 25. Tuuva S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Lindstrom K. 🟨,
33', Kouyate B. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Kouyate B. ⚽,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Rearte M. ⚽,
58', Norhomaa N. ↓, Mustalampi J. ↑,
77', Desalegen M. 🟨,
88', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+7', Mohamed H. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ) and 7 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: )).

PuiU is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

GrIFK has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, PuiU won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 2:4.5).

Including home match between the teams, PuiU won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puistolan Urheilijat
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
19.07.25	Vaajakoski - Puistolan Urheilijat	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Puistolan Urheilijat - MYPA	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Honka - Puistolan Urheilijat	4:0 ✺
02.07.25	Puistolan Urheilijat - JPS	3:1 ✺
28.06.25	Puistolan Urheilijat - Haminan Pallo-Kissat	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW
- Grankulla IFK
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
21.07.25	VJS Vantaa - Grankulla IFK	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Grankulla IFK - Lahden Reipas	2:2 ✺
06.07.25	JPS - Grankulla IFK	3:3 ✺
02.07.25	Grankulla IFK - MYPA	0:3 ✺
27.06.25	PEPO Lappeenranta - Grankulla IFK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
25.05.25	Grankulla IFK - Puistolan Urheilijat	6:3
Finnish Cup
09.05.24	Puistolan Urheilijat - Grankulla IFK	1:3

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