Match Info

Division 1 - Round 26

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach (Niepołomice)

Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Śląsk Wrocław

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	2.9	3.3	2.2
	2.82	3.35	2.35	Watch
	2.98	3.5	2.34
	2.72	3.51	2.43	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.25
	2.94	3.37	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.06)	3.35 ↓ (3.36)	2.3 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
32.3%

Draw
27.5%

Śląsk Wrocław
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

27.4%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

28.5%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Śląsk Wrocław Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Perchel M. (G) 67. Barczak N. 5. Stepien K. 23. Przybylko K. 2. Kasolik K. 34. Piekarski A. 88. Nascimento F. (C) 17. Iwao K. 70. Hajda W. 11. Korczakowski O. 14. Gjoni A.	25. Szromnik M. (G) 33. Matsenko Y. 5. Ba L. 44. Malec M. 16. Kurowski K. 14. Mokrzycki M. 7. Samiec-Talar P. (C) 81. Sokolowski P. 8. Llinares M. 10. Jambor T. 91. Banaszak P.
Substitutes
22. Kikis 97. Kowal W. (G) 28. Pieprzyca I. 9. Smiglewski K. 27. Solowiej L. 19. Stec J. 7. Stepien M. 16. Walski M.	77. Ciucka A. 4. Dijakovic M. 30. Glogowski B. (G) 47. Klimek A. 11. Marjanac L. 38. Markowski D. 27. Rosiak M. 24. Sharabura Y. 15. Yriarte J.
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Simundza A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Samiec-Talar P. ⚽,
21', Iwao K. 🟨,
32', Stepien K. ↓, Walski M. ↑,
40', Ba L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Korczakowski O. ↓, Smiglewski K. ↑,
46', Iwao K. ↓, Kikis ↑,
56', Jambor T. 🟨,
63', Jambor T. ↓, Yriarte J. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Hajda W. ⚽, Barczak N. (A),
80', Sokolowski P. ↓, Marjanac L. ↑,
82', Smiglewski K. 🟨,
83', Kurowski K. 🟨,
90+2', Nascimento F. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Puszcza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Śląsk will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Puszcza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Puszcza: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Puszcza	8	2	0	6	8:12	-4	6

Last Results with these Odds

Śląsk Wrocław - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.44%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Division 1
13.03.26	Chrobry Głogów - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Siedlce	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	GKS Tychy - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Rzeszów	4:1 ✺
15.02.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWWL
- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Division 1
15.03.26	GKS Tychy - Śląsk Wrocław	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Wisła Kraków	Slask Wroclaw awarded ✺
28.02.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Odra Opole	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Miedź Legnica - Śląsk Wrocław	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
13.09.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.05.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Śląsk Wrocław	1:1
30.11.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:1
16.03.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0
15.09.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Śląsk Wrocław	1:3

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