The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puszcza Niepołomice 18.7%
Draw 24.6%
Wisła Płock 56.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.7%
25.5%
49.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
24.8%
51.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puszcza Niepołomice's form might have worsened.
Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wisła Płock's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła Płock, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Puszcza Niepołomice - Wisła Płock Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Kowal W. (G) 14. Szabaciuk F. 44. Gawel S. 34. Piekarski A. (C) 64. Wolowiec K. 28. Pieprzyca I. 13. Jaworski F. 77. Kaminski W. 21. Gerstenstein O. 11. Korczakowski O. 99. Kurzeja B.
12. Leszczynski R. (G) 44. Misiak P. 35. Kaminski M. 3. Flis M. 91. Kuchko G. 6. Pomorski K. 88. Savvidis K. 23. Kun P. 16. Hiszpanski F. (C) 9. Juric D. 10. Hamulic S.
Substitutes
1. Andrzejczak F. (G) 3. Cisak F. 20. Fielek S. 9. Gjoni A. 17. Iwao K. 2. Kasolik K. 8. Nascimento F. 5. Stepien K. 53. Trubeha A.
57. Akere S. 22. Blaszkiewicz K. 26. Burek J. (G) 19. Gallapeni D. 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 77. Koscielecki M. 18. Prsir J. 21. Rogelj Z. 34. Silva A.
Coaches
Tulacz T.
Majewski A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Flis M. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Hamulic S. ⚽, Hiszpanski F. (A),
30', Savvidis K. 🟨,
35', Gawel S. 🟨,
36', Hiszpanski F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gawel S. ↓, Kasolik K. ↑,
46', Kun P. ↓, Gallapeni D. ↑,
63', Piekarski A. 🟨,
64', Kaminski W. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
64', Jaworski F. ↓, Gjoni A. ↑,
64', Gerstenstein O. ↓, Nascimento F. ↑,
65', Hiszpanski F. 🟨,
71', Hiszpanski F. ↓, Rogelj Z. ↑,
79', Hamulic S. ↓, Akere S. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Kurzeja B. ⚽, Korczakowski O. (A),
88', Pieprzyca I. ↓, Stepien K. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
92', Kuchko G. ↓, Blaszkiewicz K. ↑,
96', Kasolik K. ↓, Iwao K. ↑,
99', Juric D. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
99', Flis M. ↓, Koscielecki M. ↑,
109', 1 - 2, Akere S. ⚽, Pomorski K. (A),
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Puszcza could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Wisła Płock for this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Puszcza has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Puszcza against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).
Outrights of Polish Cup for now
Wisla Plock: 5.65%
Last Results with these Odds
Puszcza Niepołomice - the odds 3.58 are the expected chance of winning is 24.73%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.