Match Info

Division 1 - Round 13

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach (Niepołomice)

Referee: Urban P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Wisła Kraków

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.1	1.57	Watch
	4.95	4.05	1.58
	5.32	4.21	1.58
	5.21	3.98	1.57
	4.4	3.53	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (4.4)	3.97 ↑ (3.53)	1.59 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
18.7%

Draw
23.2%

Wisła Kraków
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

25.4%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

25%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Wisła Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Wisła will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Puszcza (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Wisła (1.92) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Puszcza (11.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Puszcza (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Puszcza (3.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Puszcza (5.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Puszcza (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Wisła (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Kowal W. (G) 67. Barczak N. 34. Piekarski A. 2. Kasolik K. 8. Mrozinski P. 16. Walski M. 5. Stepien K. 10. Cholewiak M. 88. Nascimento F. (C) 11. Korczakowski O. 22. Simon C.	28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 34. Giger R. 97. Biedrzycki W. 29. Grujcic D. 2. Lelieveld J. 8. Carbo M. 12. Igbekeme J. 51. Kuziemka M. 41. Duda K. 7. Ertlthaler J. 9. Rodado A. (C)
Substitutes
21. Basse A. 18. Francois E. 17. Iwao K. 13. Kanach R. 31. Perchel M. (G) 23. Przybylko K. 27. Solowiej L. 19. Stec J. 7. Stepien M.	56. Baniowski F. 1. Broda K. (G) 10. Duarte F. 57. Kawala S. 52. Krzyzanowski J. 50. Kutwa M. 26. Lasicki I. 11. Nikaj A. 20. Omic E.
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Jop M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Kuziemka M. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Piekarski A. (Own goal),
42', 0 - 3, Rodado A. ⚽, Ertlthaler J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mrozinski P. ↓, Iwao K. ↑,
46', Piekarski A. ↓, Basse A. ↑,
46', Barczak N. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
56', Korczakowski O. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
64', Kuziemka M. ↓, Nikaj A. ↑,
64', Duda K. ↓, Duarte F. ↑,
66', Nascimento F. 🟨,
71', Stepien K. 🟨,
74', Cholewiak M. 🟨,
76', Stepien K. ↓, Francois E. ↑,
78', Ertlthaler J. ↓, Baniowski F. ↑,
78', Lelieveld J. ↓, Krzyzanowski J. ↑,
84', Baniowski F. 🟨,
86', Igbekeme J. ↓, Omic E. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 4.

Puszcza has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wisła is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wisła may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Puszcza has had a series of away games.

In this match, Wisła is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Puszcza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Division 1
04.10.25	Polonia Bytom - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Odra Opole	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
20.09.25	Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TTWWL
- Wisła Kraków
Club Friendly
11.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Kraków	3:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
05.10.25	Wisła Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	3:0 ✺
02.10.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Wisła Kraków - Polonia Bytom	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.25	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.09.25	Wisła Kraków - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:4
28.06.25	Wisła Kraków - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1
28.06.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Wisła Kraków	1:0
Polish Division 1
06.06.23	Wisła Kraków - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:4
08.04.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Wisła Kraków	2:1
Polish Cup
19.10.22	Wisła Kraków - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:2 penalties
Polish Division 1
02.09.22	Wisła Kraków - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:3

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