Match Info

Date: 27 August 2020, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Pärnu Linnameeskond		Vändra Vaprus

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.8	3
	1.9	4	3.25
	1.83	3.85	3.3
	1.93	3.88	3.48
	1.83	3.8	3.2
	1.85	4.15	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.01)	3.91 ↓ (4.29)	3.25 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu Linnameeskond
48.6%

Draw
23.3%

Vändra Vaprus
28%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

20.9%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

16.6%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu Linnameeskond has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Vändra Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vändra Vaprus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pärnu Linnameeskond that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vändra Vaprus than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vändra Vaprus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	14.7%	8.8%

Pärnu Linnameeskond - Vändra Vaprus Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Pärnu will win (votes: 26 - 76.5%). Vändra Vaprus will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pärnu: 62.2% – 90.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pärnu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Pärnu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pärnu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga
23.08.20	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Järve	11:0 ✺
20.08.20	Flora U21 - Pärnu Linnameeskond	0:0 ✺
14.08.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Pärnu Linnameeskond	5:1 ✺
07.08.20	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Tammeka U21	3:2 ✺
Estonian Cup
03.08.20	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Flora Tallinn	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTLWL
- Vändra Vaprus
Estonian Esiliiga
23.08.20	Vändra Vaprus - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:2 ✺
20.08.20	Järve - Vändra Vaprus	2:3 ✺
15.08.20	Vändra Vaprus - Pärnu Vaprus	2:3 ✺
Estonian Cup
12.08.20	Vändra Vaprus - Flora U21	5:4 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
08.08.20	Elva - Vändra Vaprus	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
09.07.20	Vändra Vaprus - Pärnu Linnameeskond	3:2
13.06.20	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Vändra Vaprus	0:2

Pärnu Linnameeskond - Vändra Vaprus