Match Info

Date: 26 September 2020, Saturday


	Pärnu Vaprus		Maardu Linnameeskond

	1	X	2
	2	4.1	2.65
	2.1	4.2	2.6
	1.99	3.8	2.8
	2.05	3.9	3.19
	2.2	4.2	2.38
	1.93	4.28	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.21)	4.08 ↓ (4.21)	2.74 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu Vaprus
44.5%

Draw
22.3%

Maardu Linnameeskond
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

21.4%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

15.5%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Maardu Linnameeskond has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pärnu Vaprus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maardu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maardu Linnameeskond could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Pärnu Vaprus is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Maardu Linnameeskond in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pärnu Vaprus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pärnu Vaprus won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Pärnu Vaprus won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Estonian Esiliiga
21.09.20	Tammeka U21 - Pärnu Vaprus	2:1 ✺
17.09.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Järve	1:0 ✺
12.09.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Elva	6:0 ✺
23.08.20	Nõmme United - Pärnu Vaprus	0:3 ✺
20.08.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Elva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW
- Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga
26.09.20	Vändra Vaprus - Maardu Linnameeskond	Canceled
10.09.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Pärnu Linnameeskond	4:1 ✺
28.08.20	Flora U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:4 ✺
23.08.20	Vändra Vaprus - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:2 ✺
20.08.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
16.07.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:2
18.06.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Pärnu Vaprus	2:1
Club Friendly
02.02.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:0

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