The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alajuelense 70.7%
Draw 18.4%
Pérez Zeledón 10.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
70.4%
17.9%
11.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.7%
16.9%
11.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Pérez Zeledón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pérez Zeledón than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Alajuelense - Pérez Zeledón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mora B. (G) 21. Molina Y. 26. Pinar F. 13. Gamboa A. (C) 22. Matarrita R. 34. Perez C. 35. Parkins R. 24. Salazar A. 7. Hernandez A. 11. Diaz L. 9. Zaldivar A.
99. Aju M. (G) 4. Rodriguez R. 5. Fernandez W. 12. Trinidad Aguilar Pena M. 28. Nunez M. 18. Quesada E. 23. Aguirre J. (C) 27. Fallas A. 11. Sequeira B. 9. Alvarado J. 90. Cordoba J.
Substitutes
29. Aguilar D. 44. Barley E. 18. Cisneros R. 39. Cruz E. 19. Forstner C. 99. Michel K. 23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 42. Ruiz J. 15. Samadian F. 28. Sosa Y.
62. Amador A. 10. Angulo M. 17. Carvajal K. 14. Guzman K. 6. Hernandez L. 8. Marin E. 34. Munoz D. 15. Porras A. 19. Renteria W. 1. Segura B. (G)
Coaches
Ramirez O.
Gomez R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Matarrita R. (Penalty Awarded),
31', Quesada E. 🟨,
32', Parkins R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Sequeira B. ↓, Porras A. ↑,
60', Aguirre J. ↓, Renteria W. ↑,
61', Cordoba J. ↓, Amador A. ↑,
65', Pinar F. ↓, Sosa Y. ↑,
65', Diaz L. ↓, Michel K. ↑,
67', Rodriguez R. ↓, Carvajal K. ↑,
71', Perez C. ↓, Barley E. ↑,
71', Zaldivar A. ↓, Cisneros R. ↑,
79', Parkins R. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
89', Fernandez W. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Hernandez A. ⚽,
90+8', Barley E. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 2.
Alajuelense is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Pérez Zeledón is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Pérez Zeledón could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Pérez Zeledón has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The betting markets point to Alajuelense as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Alajuelense has recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:19 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alajuelense against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 22:7 goals (averaging 2.2:0.7 per game).
Costa Rica
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Mora B. (G) 
Zaldivar A. 
Aguirre J. (C) 
Renteria W. 
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