Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto (Alajuela)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TDMAX


	Alajuelense		Pérez Zeledón

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.5	3.95	5.7
	1.58	4	5.97
	1.47	4.38	6.43	Watch
	1.53	3.5	5
	1.61	3.66	5.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)	3.83 ↓ (4.46)	5.73 ↓ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alajuelense
59.9%

Draw
24%

Pérez Zeledón
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

21%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

16.5%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Pérez Zeledón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alajuelense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pérez Zeledón than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Alajuelense - Pérez Zeledón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mora B. (G) 36. Badilla I. 4. Villalobos Alfaro G. 24. Salazar A. 2. Paz D. 3. Quesada E. 35. Parkins R. 5. Borges C. (C) 10. Campbell J. 27. Alvarado J. 9. Zaldivar A.	99. Aju M. (G) 5. Fernandez W. 6. Hernandez L. 28. Pastrana E. (C) 30. Rivera Stuart J. 8. Mora J. 10. Rodriguez S. 12. Porras K. 17. Soto A. 9. Lorona L. 11. Sequeira B.
Substitutes
29. Aguilar D. 14. Bran Flores A. J. 18. Cisneros R. 13. Gamboa A. 7. Hernandez A. 22. Matarrita R. 23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 34. Perez C. 26. Pinar F. 25. van der Putten S.	23. Aguirre J. 32. Canales J. 2. Fonseca J. 7. Garita R. 14. Mendez G. 35. Mora A. (G) 93. Nunez M. 15. Porras A. 4. Rodriguez R. 20. Rojas R.
Coaches
Ramirez O.	Orozco L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Alvarado J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rodriguez S. ↓, Mendez G. ↑,
46', Salazar A. ↓, van der Putten S. ↑,
54', Mendez G. ↓, Fonseca J. ↑,
56', Villalobos Alfaro G. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Zaldivar A. ⚽,
62', Badilla I. ↓, Pinar F. ↑,
62', Quesada E. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
62', Borges C. ↓, Bran Flores A. J. ↑,
66', Lorona L. 🟨,
66', Mora J. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
77', Alvarado J. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Campbell J. ⚽,
80', Lorona L. ↓, Porras A. ↑,
80', Porras K. ↓, Rojas R. ↑,
85', Sequeira B. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 2.

Recent performances by Alajuelense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pérez Zeledón is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Alajuelense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Alajuelense has had a series of away games.

In this match, Alajuelense is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:19. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alajuelense won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Alajuelense	9	4	2	3	15:10	5	14
8	Zeledon	9	2	2	5	7:14	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LD Alajuelense
CONCACAF Champions Cup
10.03.26	Los Angeles - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
07.03.26	San Carlos - Alajuelense	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Alajuelense - Cartagines	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Puntarenas FC - Alajuelense	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWLL
- Pérez Zeledón
Costa Rican Primera Division
09.03.26	Sporting San José - Pérez Zeledón	3:2 ✺
04.03.26	Pérez Zeledón - Municipal Liberia	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Herediano - Pérez Zeledón	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Pérez Zeledón - Guadalupe	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Puntarenas FC - Pérez Zeledón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
18.01.26	Pérez Zeledón - Alajuelense	1:1
26.10.25	Alajuelense - Pérez Zeledón	3:2
06.09.25	Pérez Zeledón - Alajuelense	2:1
31.03.25	Pérez Zeledón - Alajuelense	1:2
26.01.25	Alajuelense - Pérez Zeledón	0:0
29.09.24	Pérez Zeledón - Alajuelense	2:2
10.08.24	Alajuelense - Pérez Zeledón	2:1

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