Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Puntarenas FC		Alajuelense

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.30	1.90
	3.20	3.25	2.02	Watch
	3.64	3.53	1.99
	3.66	3.48	1.96	Watch
	3.55	3.45	1.92
	3.59	3.24	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (3.91)	3.38 ↓ (3.47)	1.95 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puntarenas FC
25.9%

Draw
27.2%

Alajuelense
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26.8%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

26.6%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puntarenas FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puntarenas FC than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Puntarenas FC - Alajuelense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puntarenas won 1.

Puntarenas has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Alajuelense has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Alajuelense is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Puntarenas has recorded 2 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:34 (averaging 0.6:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Puntarenas against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 5:10 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Alajuelense	9	4	2	3	15:10	5	14
7	Puntarenas FC	9	3	2	4	8:13	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Puntarenas FC - the odds 3.91 are the expected chance of winning is 23.75%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Alajuelense - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.44%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puntarenas FC
Costa Rican Primera Division
19.09.26	Puntarenas FC - Escorpiones de Belén	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Inter San Carlos - Puntarenas FC	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Puntarenas FC - Cartagines	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	San Carlos - Puntarenas FC	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	Puntarenas FC - Pérez Zeledón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLWW
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
20.09.26	Alajuelense - Inter San Carlos	5:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
17.09.26	Alajuelense - CD Marathón	3:1 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
13.09.26	Cartagines - Alajuelense	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
10.09.26	CD Marathón - Alajuelense	2:2 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
05.09.26	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
15.08.26	Alajuelense - Puntarenas FC	2:1
23.04.26	Alajuelense - Puntarenas FC	5:2
28.02.26	Puntarenas FC - Alajuelense	2:0
26.09.25	Alajuelense - Puntarenas FC	2:2
16.08.25	Puntarenas FC - Alajuelense	0:0
14.05.25	Alajuelense - Puntarenas FC	1:0 ET
11.05.25	Puntarenas FC - Alajuelense	0:0

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