Match Info

Copa Rio - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Pérolas Negras		Maricá

	1	X	2
	2.70	2.70	2.60
	2.68	2.82	2.62
	2.73	2.64	2.73
	2.54	2.89	2.93	Watch
	2.70	2.60	2.70
	2.41	3.34	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.71)	2.83 ↓ (3.13)	2.73 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pérolas Negras
34.6%

Draw
32.1%

Maricá
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.1%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pérolas Negras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Maricá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pérolas Negras than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Pérolas Negras - Maricá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Maricá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pérolas Negras won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pérolas Negras
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
04.07.26	Maricá - Pérolas Negras	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Cabofriense - Pérolas Negras	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
23.06.26	Pérolas Negras - Santa Cruz RJ	5:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
20.06.26	Pérolas Negras - Americano Rio de Janeiro	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
17.06.26	Santa Cruz RJ - Pérolas Negras	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWLW
- Maricá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
11.07.26	Resende - Maricá	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Maricá - Pérolas Negras	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Maricá	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Maricá - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Serrano FC - Maricá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
04.07.26	Maricá - Pérolas Negras	2:0

Pérolas Negras - Maricá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide