Match Info
Carioca 2 - Round 8Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Serrano FC |
|
Maricá |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.75 |
2.65 |
2.60 |
|
 |
2.92 |
2.72 |
2.68 |
|
 |
3.08 |
2.32 |
2.97 |
|
 |
2.75 |
2.50 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.83 |
2.55 |
2.72 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↓
(3.15) |
2.55 ↓
(2.9) |
2.74 ↑
(2.34) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Serrano FC
31.6% | Draw
35.5% | Maricá
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serrano FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Maricá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maricá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serrano FC than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maricá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Serrano FC - Maricá Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Marcelo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+11', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).Serrano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Maricá is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Maricá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Maricá is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Serrano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).Including home matches between the teams, Serrano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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