Match Info

Carioca 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Resende		Maricá

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.65	3.00
	2.18	2.85	3.20
	2.39	2.80	3.51
	2.45	2.26	4.25	Watch
	2.35	2.50	3.45
	2.39	3.02	3.02
	2.38	2.65	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.17)	2.68 ↓ (2.9)	3.36 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resende
38.7%

Draw
34.1%

Maricá
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

30.6%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

32.8%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Maricá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resende than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Resende - Maricá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Resende is Qualified for Carioca 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)

Maricá is Qualified for Carioca 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)

Resende has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Maricá is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Resende will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Resende won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Resende won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Resende FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
04.07.26	Resende - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Audax Rio - Resende	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
23.06.26	Resende - Belford Roxo	8:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
20.06.26	Resende - Serrano FC	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
17.06.26	Belford Roxo - Resende	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWTW
- Maricá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
04.07.26	Maricá - Pérolas Negras	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Maricá	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Maricá - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Serrano FC - Maricá	1:1 ✺
10.06.26	Maricá - Bonsucesso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
13.07.24	Maricá - Resende	1:0
26.07.23	Resende - Maricá	1:0

Resende - Maricá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide