Match Info

Date: 26 June 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pérolas Negras		Nova Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.7	2.55
	2.7	2.6	2.65
	2.98	2.48	2.68
	2.8	2.55	2.6
	2.93	2.69	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.43)	2.6 ↓ (2.77)	2.63 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pérolas Negras
31.5%

Draw
34.4%

Nova Iguaçu
34.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26%

32.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

32.2%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pérolas Negras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pérolas Negras's performance.

Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nova Iguaçu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pérolas Negras than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pérolas Negras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nova Iguaçu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	55.6%	22.2%

Pérolas Negras - Nova Iguaçu Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pérolas Negras will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Nova Iguaçu will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pérolas Negras won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pérolas Negras
Brazilian Serie D
18.06.22	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Pérolas Negras	2:0 ✺
11.06.22	São Bernardo - Pérolas Negras	4:0 ✺
05.06.22	Pérolas Negras - Osasco Sporting	2:2 ✺
28.05.22	Osasco Sporting - Pérolas Negras	0:1 ✺
22.05.22	Pérolas Negras - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LLTWT
- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Serie D
18.06.22	Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa RJ	0:2 ✺
11.06.22	Osasco Sporting - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
04.06.22	Nova Iguaçu - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
28.05.22	São Bernardo - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
21.05.22	Nova Iguaçu - Osasco Sporting	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.05.22	Nova Iguaçu - Pérolas Negras	1:1

Pérolas Negras - Nova Iguaçu