Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 9

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Municipal de Pétange (Petange)


	Pétange		Racing Luxembourg

	1	X	2
	4.29	3.6	1.78
	4.19	3.40	1.82	Watch
	3.79	3.44	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (3.77)	3.48 ↑ (3.44)	1.81 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pétange
22.6%

Draw
26.5%

Racing Luxembourg
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

26.6%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pétange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Racing Luxembourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pétange than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Luxembourg than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Pétange - Racing Luxembourg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing Luxembourg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Racing Luxembourg (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Racing Luxembourg (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing Luxembourg (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barrela L. (G) 27. Ali D. 21. Arab S. 55. Diouf I. 19. Gustavo 36. Kamavuaka W. 23. Martins N. 4. Noode S. 6. Sabotic D. 3. Vechviroon N. 5. Zodehougan Y.	16. Ruffier R. (G) 17. Dupays H. 20. Fonrose F. 6. Freire B. 9. Herrmann C. 3. Hofland M. 10. Ikene F. 4. Kada J. 21. Mabanza C. 19. Saban M. 7. Stolz D.
Substitutes
17. Goncalves R. 11. Isaac A. 18. Komes M. (G) 77. Lognard N. 24. Pereira Mendes P. 44. Rodrigues R. 7. Schaus Y.	40. Ballicalioglu V. 37. Bisevac A. 8. Chibani B. 11. Diakhite A. 15. Giesteira B. 24. Skelton K. (G) 41. Yans E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Fonrose F. ↓, Diakhite A. ↑,
23', 0 - 1, Stolz D. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Gustavo ⚽, Diouf I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gustavo ↓, Schaus Y. ↑,
51', Dupays H. 🟨,
64', Saban M. ↓, Ballicalioglu V. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Schaus Y. ⚽,
74', Schaus Y. 🟨,
77', Dupays H. ↓, Chibani B. ↑,
78', Vechviroon N. 🟨,
80', Martins N. ↓, Pereira Mendes P. ↑,
90', Arab S. ↓, Goncalves R. ↑,
90+2', Ikene F. 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pétange won 1.

Pétange has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Racing Luxembourg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pétange may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Racing Luxembourg has had a series of home games.

In this match, Racing Luxembourg is considered a favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pétange won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pétange won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Titus Pétange
Luxembourg National Division
01.10.25	Pétange - Atert Bissen	2:3 ✺
28.09.25	Mamer - Pétange	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Käerjéng 97 - Pétange	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Pétange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	UNA Strassen - Pétange	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Racing Luxembourg
Luxembourg National Division
28.09.25	Racing Luxembourg - Victoria Rosport	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Racing Luxembourg - Mondorf-les-Bains	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	F91 Dudelange - Racing Luxembourg	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Esch	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Canach	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
29.09.24	Racing Luxembourg - Pétange	2:1
30.03.24	Pétange - Racing Luxembourg	0:3
27.09.23	Racing Luxembourg - Pétange	2:0
30.04.23	Pétange - Racing Luxembourg	1:1
27.11.22	Racing Luxembourg - Pétange	0:2
Luxembourg Cup
11.05.22	Pétange - Racing Luxembourg	0:1
Luxembourg National Division
02.04.22	Racing Luxembourg - Pétange	0:0

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