Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Azersun Arena (Baku)

Referee: Jabarov R. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Qarabağ Agdam		Gabala

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.12	6.9	14.5	Watch
	1.13	7.69	16.38
	1.03	13.63	25.00	Watch
	1.11	6.85	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.18)	8.77 ↑ (6.05)	17.97 ↑ (12.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
84.3%

Draw
10.6%

Gabala
5.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.8%

15.1%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qarabağ Agdam's performance.

Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Qarabağ Agdam - Gabala Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kochalski M. (G) 11. Addai E. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 17. Duran C. 20. Kady Borges 15. Leandro Andrade 2. Matheus Silva 81. Medina K. 13. Mustafazada B. 35. Pedro Bicalho 10. Zoubir A. (C)	1. Agayev S. (C) 27. Ahmadov E. 13. Aliyev N. 16. Amoah I. 50. Ba Loua A. 74. Damadayev S. 3. Eduardo Kunde 14. Massoumou D. J. 30. Owusu P. 10. Shahniyarov S. 6. Sierra J.
Substitutes
7. Akhundzade N. 27. Bayramov T. 97. Buntic F. (G) 32. Cabrayilzada H. 6. Chriso 18. Dani Bolt 30. Huseynov A. 21. Kashchuk O. 1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 3. Mmaee S. 22. Qurbanly M. 77. Sheydayev R.	7. Ahmadov R. 94. Hushanov H. (G) 22. Iskandarov F. 11. Mammadov A. 28. Musayev M. 26. Mustafayev E. 70. Quimbila P. 17. Ramazanov Q. 66. Rashidov N. 12. Sangare I. 21. Shakarkhanov Z. 97. Tagiyev E.
Coaches
Qurbanov Q.	Tskhadadze K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Owusu P. 🟥,
16', 1 - 0, Zoubir A. ⚽,
42', Massoumou D. J. 🟨,
42', Matheus Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Matheus Silva ↓, Dani Bolt ↑,
66', Addai E. ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
74', Ba Loua A. ↓, Iskandarov F. ↑,
80', Massoumou D. J. ↓, Quimbila P. ↑,
84', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
84', Leandro Andrade ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
88', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Ramazanov Q. ↑,
89', Aliyev N. ↓, Ahmadov R. ↑,
90', Duran C. ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Qurbanly M. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 4.

Qarabağ is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gabala's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Qarabağ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Qarabağ is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 51:9. (average 2.6:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Qarabağ won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:5. (average 2.9:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
21.09.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Qarabağ Agdam	0:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	Benfica - Qarabağ Agdam	2:3 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
12.09.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Zira	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Karvan - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.08.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Ferencvárosi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WWTWL
- FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Premier League
20.09.25	Gabala - Kapaz	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Turan Tovuz - Gabala	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Gabala	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Gabala - Zira	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Karvan - Gabala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Cup
04.12.24	Gabala - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2
Azerbaijan Premier League
20.04.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Gabala	2:2
28.02.24	Gabala - Qarabağ Agdam	0:4
04.12.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Gabala	3:0
25.09.23	Gabala - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2
08.05.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Gabala	3:0
05.03.23	Gabala - Qarabağ Agdam	1:3

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