Match Info
Club FriendlyDate: 10 January 2026, Saturday
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 |
|
 |
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Gabala |
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Kapaz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.07 |
10.20 |
15.00 |
 Watch |
 |
2.05 |
3 |
3.3 |
|
 |
2.08 |
3.08 |
3.38 |
Watch |
 |
2.14 |
3.25 |
3.4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(2.09) |
4.88 ↑
(3.11) |
6.27 ↑
(3.36) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gabala
59.9% | Draw
22.5% | Kapaz
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gabala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gabala's performance.Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kapaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (-15.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabala that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kapaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Gabala - Kapaz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Massoumou D. J. ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 0, Akinade I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 71', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 78', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 1.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Recently, Gabala has had a series of home games. Gabala might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.4:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Gabala won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Azerbaijan Premier League | | | 14.12.25 | Kapaz - Gabala | 1:0 | | 20.09.25 | Gabala - Kapaz | 3:0 | | 28.04.24 | Gabala - Kapaz | 0:1 | | 23.02.24 | Kapaz - Gabala | 2:1 | | 09.12.23 | Gabala - Kapaz | 0:3 | | 01.10.23 | Kapaz - Gabala | 0:1 | | 27.05.23 | Gabala - Kapaz | 1:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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