Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Qarabağ Agdam		Shkendija Tetovo

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	7.5	Watch
	1.3	5.25	9.25
	1.32	5.4	9.3	Watch
	1.32	5.34	9.27
	2.06	3.75	3.20	Watch
	1.3	4.8	10
	1.35	5.22	9.2	Watch
	1.39	4.46	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 (1.42)	4.93 ↑ (4.61)	8.34 ↓ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
68.6%

Draw
19.8%

Shkendija Tetovo
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

20.9%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

20.4%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Shkendija Tetovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Shkendija Tetovo aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	20.6%	2.9%

Qarabağ Agdam - Shkendija Tetovo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 6 - 50%). Shkendija (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Qarabağ (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DNB - Shkendija (6.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Qarabağ Agdam will win (25 of 32 users predict this - 78.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.81% – 92.45%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Shkendija (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kochalski M. (G) 2. Matheus Silva 13. Mustafazada B. 81. Medina K. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 35. Pedro Bicalho 8. Jankovic M. 15. Leandro Andrade 20. Kady Borges 10. Zoubir A. (C) 90. Akhundzade N.	24. Gaye B. (G) 2. Trumci A. 15. Fetai I. 5. Cake K. 11. Webster R. 4. Ramadani R. 28. Qaka K. 29. Tamba F. 17. Zejnullai A. 77. Latifi L. 7. Ibraimi B. (C)
Substitutes
11. Addai E. 27. Bayramov T. 97. Buntic F. (G) 32. Cabrayilzada H. 6. Chriso 18. Dani Bolt 30. Huseynov A. 55. Huseynov B. 21. Kashchuk O. 1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 3. Mmaee S. 22. Qurbanly M.	9. Ademi F. 22. Ajetovikj N. 6. Alhassan A. 25. Amzai A. (G) 27. Kaba L. 10. Krasniqi E. 19. Krstevski V. 26. Meliqi A. 16. Murati M. 38. Nuhija A. 8. Ramadani F. 30. Ramani F. (G)
Coaches
Qurbanov Q.	Bekjiri J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Tamba F. ⚽, Ibraimi B. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Cake K. (Own goal),
18', 2 - 1, Kady Borges ⚽, Zoubir A. (A),
33', 3 - 1, Akhundzade N. ⚽, Zoubir A. (A),
35', Qaka K. 🟨,
35', 4 - 1, Jankovic M. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Qaka K. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
46', Latifi L. ↓, Alhassan A. ↑,
48', Alhassan A. 🟨,
59', 5 - 1, Leandro Andrade ⚽, Cafarquliyev E. (A),
63', Ibraimi B. ↓, Ademi F. ↑,
63', Mustafazada B. ↓, Mmaee S. ↑,
63', Matheus Silva ↓, Dani Bolt ↑,
63', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Chriso ↑,
70', Akhundzade N. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
75', Tamba F. ↓, Ramadani F. ↑,
78', Leandro Andrade ↓, Cabrayilzada H. ↑,
84', Zejnullai A. ↓, Kaba L. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.

In recent matches, Qarabağ has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shkendija is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Qarabağ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Shkendija has had a series of home games.

In this match, Qarabağ is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Qarabağ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
UEFA Champions League
05.08.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
30.07.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Shelbourne	1:0 ✺
23.07.25	Shelbourne - Qarabağ Agdam	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1 ✺
07.07.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Kharkiv	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLL
- Shkendija Tetovo
North Macedonian 1 MFL
08.08.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Shkupi	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.08.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
30.07.25	FCSB - Shkendija Tetovo	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Shkendija Tetovo - FCSB	1:0 ✺
15.07.25	Shkendija Tetovo - The New Saints	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
05.08.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1

Qarabağ Agdam - Shkendija Tetovo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide