The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Qarabağ Agdam 28.1%
Draw 24.3%
Kharkiv 47.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
22.4%
43.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
22.9%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qarabağ Agdam's form might have worsened.
Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 32. Cabrayilzada H. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 39. Gnali J. 16. Huseynov A. 82. Imamaliyev M. 20. Kady Borges 21. Kashchuk O. 88. Lobato S. 7. Mouaddib J. 47. Mutallimli M.
23. Protsenko Y. (G) 9. Antyukh D. 16. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 5. Kaliuzhnyi I. (C) 27. Krupskyi I. 24. Martynyuk O. 10. Paraco C. 19. Rashica E. 13. Salyuk V. 31. Shabanov A. 8. Yatsyk O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Rashica E. (Penalty Awarded),
24', 0 - 2, Paraco C. ⚽,
45', 0 - 3, Paraco C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
48', 1 - 3, Mouaddib J. ⚽,
60', 1 - 4, Gadzhyev R. ⚽,
64', 1 - 5, ⚽,
68', 2 - 5, Kady Borges ⚽,
69', 2 - 6, ⚽,
84', 🟨,
Preview
Neutral location.
Qarabağ has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Kharkiv has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Kharkiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.
Including home match between the teams, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.