Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Ukraine	Maincast
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Qarabağ Agdam		Shelbourne

	1	X	2
	1.18	6	15	Watch
	1.19	7	13
	1.21	5.9	12.5	Watch
	1.18	6.5	14.73
	1.23	6.30	11.10	Watch
	1.18	6.5	13
	1.19	6.68	19.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↑ (1.15)	6.41 ↓ (8.45)	14.12 ↓ (19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
78.7%

Draw
14.7%

Shelbourne
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.6%

11.4%

5.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	4.3%	4.3%

Qarabağ Agdam - Shelbourne Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 19 - 90.5%). Shelbourne will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Shelbourne (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Qarabağ (1.52) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -2 - Qarabağ (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Shelbourne (13.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Shelbourne (10.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Shelbourne (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kochalski M. (G) 2. Matheus Silva 13. Mustafazada B. 81. Medina K. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 35. Pedro Bicalho 20. Kady Borges 15. Leandro Andrade 11. Addai E. 10. Zoubir A. (C) 90. Akhundzade N.	13. Speel W. (G) 24. Temple L. 15. Bone S. 18. Norris J. 4. Ledwidge K. 17. Kelly D. 8. Coyle M. (C) 5. Chapman E. 11. Odubeko A. 23. McInroy K. 10. Martin J.
Substitutes
27. Bayramov T. 97. Buntic F. (G) 32. Cabrayilzada H. 6. Chriso 30. Huseynov A. 55. Huseynov B. 8. Jankovic M. 21. Kashchuk O. 1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 3. Mmaee S. 22. Qurbanly M.	29. Barrett P. 9. Boyd S. 27. Caffrey E. 14. Coote A. 2. Gannon S. 19. Healy L. (G) 6. Lunney J. 16. O'Sullivan J. 44. Ring D. 50. Topcu A. (G) 7. Wood H.
Coaches
Qurbanov Q.	O'Brien J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Martin J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Odubeko A. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
62', Martin J. ↓, Wood H. ↑,
62', McInroy K. ↓, Lunney J. ↑,
68', Kady Borges (Pen),
69', Medina K. 🟨,
71', Norris J. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
72', Akhundzade N. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
72', Zoubir A. ↓, Chriso ↑,
72', Medina K. ↓, Mmaee S. ↑,
80', Kady Borges ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
80', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
80', Chapman E. ↓, Coote A. ↑,
81', Boyd S. 🟨,
88', Ledwidge K. 🟨,
90', Coote A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 3-0. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.

Shelbourne is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shelbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Qarabağ is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Qarabağ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
UEFA Champions League
23.07.25	Shelbourne - Qarabağ Agdam	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1 ✺
07.07.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Kharkiv	4:5 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
31.05.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	2:3 ET ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
24.05.25	Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLW
- Shelbourne
UEFA Champions League
23.07.25	Shelbourne - Qarabağ Agdam	0:3 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
19.07.25	Fairview Rangers - Shelbourne	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.07.25	Linfield - Shelbourne	1:1 ✺
09.07.25	Shelbourne - Linfield	1:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
04.07.25	Shelbourne - Cork City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
23.07.25	Shelbourne - Qarabağ Agdam	0:3

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