Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Azersun Arena (Baku) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
Norway	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	Qarabağ Agdam		Molde

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	3
	2.35	3.6	3	Watch
	2.3	3.4	3.1
	2.35	3.54	3.12
	2.38	3	2.75
	2.28	3.52	3.05
	2.34	3.45	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.37)	3.43 ↑ (3.35)	3.02 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDNxtra 3

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
40.8%

Draw
27.7%

Molde
31.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

27.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.5%	31%	34.5%

Qarabağ Agdam - Molde Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%). Molde will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 17.2% – 51.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Lunev A. (G) 2. Silva M. 5. Medvedev M. (C) 81. Medina K. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 6. Romao J. 8. Jankovic M. 15. Leandro Andrade 7. Benzia Y. 10. Zoubir A. 18. Juninho	1. Karlstrom J. (G) 3. Oyvann C. 2. Bjornbak M. 25. Hagelskjaer A. 31. Lovik M. 16. Breivik E. 6. Ellingsen M. 15. Kaasa M. A. 28. Haugen K. 7. Eikrem M. W. (C) 9. Berisha V.
Substitutes
90. Akhundzade N. 66. Andrade P. 27. Bayramov T. 23. Gugeshashvili L. (G) 30. Huseynov A. 55. Huseynov B. 17. Keyta H. 13. Mustafazada B. 83. Quliyev N. 89. Ramazanov A. (G) 20. Richard Almeyda	4. Cappis C. 20. Eriksen K. 22. Grodem M. 8. Gulbrandsen F. 19. Haugan E. 5. Hestad E. 10. Kitolano E. 34. Lervik P. H. (G) 21. Linnes M. 33. Odegard N. 12. Petersen O. (G)
Coaches
Gurbanov G.	Moe E.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Qarabağ: Huseynov A. (Injury) Vesovic M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Molde: Linnes M. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Qarabağ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
17.09.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
27.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTTW
- Molde FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.09.23	Molde - Odd	4:1 ✺
03.09.23	Haugesund - Molde	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.08.23	Galatasaray - Molde	2:1 ✺
23.08.23	Molde - Galatasaray	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.08.23	Molde - Vålerenga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
16.09.20	Qarabağ Agdam - Molde	0:1 penalties

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