Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Stožice (Ljubljana) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	20:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	20:00	SportKlub


	Olimpija Ljubljana		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.7
	2.8	3	2.8
	2.7	3.2	2.73
	2.72	3.15	2.88
	2.6	3.1	2.4
	2.67	3.28	2.63
	2.75	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.38)	3.16 ↓ (3.21)	2.7 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpija Ljubljana
35.1%

Draw
29.9%

Qarabağ Agdam
35%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.1%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.5%	52.5%	30%

Olimpija Ljubljana - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Olimpija will win (votes: 7 - 17.5%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 12 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 52.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 37% – 68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Vidovsek M. (G) 2. Silva J. 14. Ratnik M. 16. Muhamedbegovic A. 3. Sualehe D. 19. Seslar S. 34. Doffo A. 10. Elsnik T. M. (C) 99. Rui Pedro 11. Fadida S. 37. Schwaizer P. L.	23. Gugeshashvili L. (G) 27. Bayramov T. 13. Mustafazada B. 81. Medina K. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 6. Romao J. 8. Jankovic M. 15. Leandro Andrade 7. Benzia Y. 10. Zoubir A. (C) 19. Xhixha R.
Substitutes
23. Costa Pinto D. 33. Gavric N. 77. Jakupovic A. 6. Karamatic M. 43. Krefl A. 8. Lasickas J. 31. Mauricio Z. (G) 20. Motika N. 9. Nukic M. 22. Pintol D. (G) 15. Ristic M.	11. Diakhaby A. 18. Juninho 17. Keyta H. 99. Lunev A. (G) 1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 4. Mammadov R. 5. Medvedev M. 83. Quliyev N. 20. Richard Almeyda 2. Silva M.
Coaches
Henriques J.	Gurbanov G.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Olimpija is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Qarabağ is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Olimpija could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Qarabağ have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Olimpija won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpija won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.08.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Olimpija Ljubljana	4:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.08.23	Galatasaray - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
12.08.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Domžale	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.08.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Galatasaray	0:3 ✺
01.08.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
20.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.08.23	HJK - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
13.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Turan Tovuz	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - HJK	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
05.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Zira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
18.07.18	Qarabağ Agdam - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:0
11.07.18	Olimpija Ljubljana - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1

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