Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	CMore, CMore Sport
France	21:00	beIN Sports
Hungary	21:00	Sport 1
Netherlands	21:00	RTL 7
Portugal	20:00	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	CMore Fotboll
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Molde		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.38
	3	3.3	2.35
	2.75	3.3	2.55
	2.9	3.3	2.4
	3.18	3.27	2.42
	2.62	3.2	2.3
	3.15	3.44	2.23
	3	3.4	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.22)	3.31 ↓ (3.6)	2.38 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Molde
31.9%

Draw
28.5%

Galatasaray
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.2%

26.1%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galatasaray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galatasaray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.2%	19.1%	67.6%

Molde - Galatasaray Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Molde will win (votes: 9 - 13.2%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 46 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 19.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 56.5% – 78.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karlstrom J. (G) 19. Haugan E. 2. Bjornbak M. 6. Ellingsen M. 14. Knudtzon E. 20. Eriksen K. 8. Mannsverk S. 16. Breivik E. 28. Haugen K. 11. Brynhildsen O. 7. Eikrem M. W. (C)	1. Muslera F. (C) 93. Boey S. 25. Nelsson V. 42. Bardakci A. 3. Angelino 22. Kutlu B. 27. Oliveira S. 11. Akgun Y. 10. Mertens D. 7. Akturkoglu K. 9. Icardi M.
Substitutes
22. Grodem M. 25. Hagelskjaer A. 5. Hestad E. 32. Ibrahim H. 15. Kaasa M. A. 10. Kitolano E. 34. Lervik P. H. (G) 31. Lovik M. 33. Odegard N. 12. Petersen O. (G) 4. Tiedemann B.	81. Akman H. 23. Ayhan K. 94. Bakambu C. 40. Bayram E. 8. Demirbay K. 21. Dervisoglu H. 2. Dubois L. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 88. Karatas K. 6. Midtsjo F. 20. Tete 53. Yilmaz B.
Coaches
Moe E.	Buruk O.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Molde is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Galatasaray is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Galatasaray: Torreira L. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Galatasaray: Zaha W. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.08.23	Molde - Vålerenga	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.08.23	Molde - KÍ Klaksvík	2:0 ET ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
12.08.23	Sandefjord - Molde	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.08.23	KÍ Klaksvík - Molde	2:1 ✺
02.08.23	Molde - HJK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWTLW
- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
19.08.23	Galatasaray - Trabzonspor	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.08.23	Galatasaray - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
12.08.23	Kayserispor - Galatasaray	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.08.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Galatasaray	0:3 ✺
02.08.23	Galatasaray - Žalgiris	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
01.11.26	Brann - Molde	✺
Norwegian NM Cup
28.10.26	Molde - Strømsgodset	✺
- Galatasaray
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Galatasaray - Stuttgart	✺
Turkish Super League
30.10.26	Konyaspor - Galatasaray	✺

Molde - Galatasaray