Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Round 9

Date: 5 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Qatar	Al Kass Five, Shoof
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Ukraine	Sport 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+ Sport 2, K+, TV 360, VieON
International	Onefootball, Sport 2 Baltic


	Qatar		Iran

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.62	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.65
	2.68	3.2	2.52
	2.8	3.29	2.65
	2.71	3.22	2.59	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.77	3.2	2.62	Watch
	2.68	3.2	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.2)	3.2 ↓ (3.55)	2.62 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qatar
34.8%

Draw
29.3%

Iran
35.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.3%

26.4%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qatar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qatar's performance.

Iran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.6%	38.5%	26.9%

Qatar - Iran Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Qatar will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Iran will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qatar: 11.5% – 55.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Qatar (votes: 3 - 25%). Iran (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Iran (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Qatar (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Qatar (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Iran (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Barsham M. (G) Al-Sadd 2. Pedro Miguel Al-Sadd 16. Khoukhi B. Al-Sadd 5. Salman T. Al-Sadd 14. Al Amin H. Al-Duhail 23. Madibo A. O. Al-Gharafa 12. Boudiaf K. Al-Duhail 7. Al Ganehi A. Al-Gharafa 10. Afif A. (C) Al-Sadd 11. Edmilson Junior Al-Duhail 19. Ali A. Al-Duhail	1. Beiranvand A. (G) Tractor 7. Hardani S. Esteghlal TEH 19. Aghasi A. Tractor 4. Khalilzadeh S. Tractor 5. Mohammadi M. Persepolis 17. Karimi M. Sepahan 6. Ezatolahi S. Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 20. Mohebi M. Sepahan 9. Taremi M. (C) Inter 18. Hosseinzadeh A. Tractor 16. Alipour A. Persepolis
Substitutes
15. Al Rawi B. Al-Duhail 1. Ellethy S. (G) Al-Shahaniya 20. Fathi A. Al Arabi (Qatar) 6. Hatem A. Al Rayyan 8. Meshaal M. 17. Mohammed I. Al-Duhail 18. Moustafa A. Al Ahli 9. Muntari M. Al-Gharafa 4. Suhail A. Al-Sadd 13. Surag A. Al-Gharafa 3. Yousif A. Al-Gharafa 21. Zakaria S. (G) Al-Duhail	15. Cheshmi R. Esteghlal TEH 14. Ghoddos S. Ittihad Kalba 3. Hashemnejad M. Tractor 22. Hosseini H. (G) Esteghlal TEH 10. Moghanlou S. Ittihad Kalba 2. Moharrami S. Din. Zagreb 11. Nemati A. Foolad 12. Niazmand P. (G) Sepahan 21. Noorafkan O. Malavan 8. Pouraliganji M. Persepolis 13. Razzaghinia A. Gol Gohar 23. Yousefi A. Sepahan
Coaches
Lopetegui J.	Ghalenoei A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Ali A. 🟨,
27', Alipour A. 🟨,
31', Aghasi A. 🟨,
33', Mohammadi M. 🟨,
35', Mohammadi M. 🟨,
38', Alipour A. ↓, Nemati A. ↑,
41', 1 - 0, Pedro Miguel ⚽,
43', Boudiaf K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Karimi M. ↓, Ghoddos S. ↑,
46', Hosseinzadeh A. ↓, Cheshmi R. ↑,
61', Boudiaf K. ↓, Hatem A. ↑,
61', Ali A. ↓, Meshaal M. ↑,
67', Mohebi M. ↓, Moghanlou S. ↑,
73', Madibo A. O. ↓, Fathi A. ↑,
73', Edmilson Junior ↓, Mohammed I. ↑,
83', Afif A. ↓, Yousif A. ↑,
90+3', Fathi A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qatar won 1.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Qatar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.7:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qatar
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Kyrgyzstan - Qatar	3:1 ✺
20.03.25	Qatar - North Korea	5:1 ✺
Gulf Cup of Nations
27.12.24	Kuwait - Qatar	1:1 ✺
24.12.24	Oman - Qatar	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	United Arab Emirates - Qatar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTLT
- Iran
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Iran - Uzbekistan	2:2 ✺
20.03.25	Iran - United Arab Emirates	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	Kyrgyzstan - Iran	2:3 ✺
14.11.24	North Korea - Iran	2:3 ✺
15.10.24	Iran - Qatar	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
15.10.24	Iran - Qatar	4:1
Asian Cup
07.02.24	Iran - Qatar	2:3
Friendly
17.10.23	Qatar - Iran	0:4
31.12.18	Qatar - Iran	1:2
FIFA World Cup
23.03.17	Qatar - Iran	0:1
01.09.16	Iran - Qatar	1:0
Asian Cup
15.01.15	Qatar - Iran	0:1

Qatar - Iran: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide