Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday


	Qingdao Hainiu		Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.2	5.75	11.5
	1.18	5.55	12
	1.19	5.4	12
	1.18	6.48	19.4
	1.33	4.5	7.5
	1.19	6	13	Watch
	1.19	5.6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.52)	5.61 ↑ (3.81)	12.49 ↑ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Hainiu
76.2%

Draw
16.4%

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

23.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

22.5%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Hainiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qingdao Hainiu's performance.

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangxi Pingguo Haliao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qingdao Hainiu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Pingguo Haliao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Qingdao Hainiu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Guangxi will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qingdao Hainiu: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 13).

Qingdao Hainiu in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Guangxi Pingguo Haliao is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Qingdao Hainiu is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Jia League
09.11.22	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Hainiu	0:3 ✺
05.11.22	Qingdao Hainiu - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	5:1 ✺
01.11.22	Qingdao West Coast - Qingdao Hainiu	1:5 ✺
27.10.22	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Institute of Technology	2:0 ✺
28.09.22	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Sport University	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW
- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
09.11.22	Beijing Institute of Technology - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:1 ✺
04.11.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Liaoning Tieren	2:2 ✺
01.11.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
28.10.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Qingdao West Coast	0:0 ✺
27.09.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Jiangxi Lushan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WTLTL

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