Match Info

Super League - Round 13

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Liaoning Tieren		Qingdao Hainiu

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.12	3.45	3.1	Watch
	2.19	3.7	3.37
	2.1	3.54	3.28	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3
	2.1	3.59	3.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.47)	3.55 ↑ (3.47)	3.19 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
44.3%

Draw
26.4%

Qingdao Hainiu
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.9%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liaoning Tieren's performance.

Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qingdao Hainiu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liaoning Tieren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qingdao Hainiu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	30%	40%

Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Hainiu Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qingdao Hainiu: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Qingdao Hainiu (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Qingdao Hainiu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Zhang Yan (G) 5. Mawlanniyaz D. 26. Yuan Mincheng 15. Felipe 11. Chen Binbin 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 18. Li Tixiang 8. Yan Dinghao 7. Kouame A. 9. Mbenza G. 47. Jeffinho	28. Mu Pengfei (G) 37. Wei Zixian 4. Jin Yangyang 26. Andjelkovic N. (C) 29. Li Suda 31. Luo Senwen 6. Edjouma M. 7. Yeboah Y. 8. Lin Chuangyi 34. Jin Yonghao 10. Strandberg C.
Substitutes
27. Gao Jiarun 21. Han Rongze (G) 35. Li Haoran 30. Pang Shenghan 3. Pan Ximing 33. Tian Yinong 17. Tian Yuda 4. Tian Ziyi 6. Vagic P. 28. Xu Dong 14. Zang Yifeng 37. Zheng Jiacheng	11. El Messaoudi A. 43. Jappar M. (G) 16. Li Hailong 1. Liu Jun (G) 3. Liu Junshuai 9. Liu Xinyu 24. Ngan Cheuk-Pan 23. Song Long 19. Song Wenjie 14. Sun Zheng'ao 17. Wang Qiao 22. Yang Cong
Coaches
Seo Jung-Won	Ristic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Wei Zixian ↓, Li Hailong ↑,
16', Strandberg C. ↓, Song Wenjie ↑,
18', Mawlanniyaz D. ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
34', 1 - 0, Mbenza G. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Yeboah Y. ⚽, Jin Yonghao (A),
76', Li Tixiang ↓, Tian Yinong ↑,
76', Kouame A. ↓, Zang Yifeng ↑,
78', Luo Senwen ↓, Ngan Cheuk-Pan ↑,
79', Lin Chuangyi ↓, El Messaoudi A. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Mbenza G. ⚽, Chen Binbin (A),
87', Yan Dinghao 🟨,
89', Chen Binbin 🟨,
90+2', Zang Yifeng 🟨,
90+3', Jeffinho ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,
90+3', Mbenza G. ↓, Pan Ximing ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 13).

Liaoning Tieren has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Qingdao Hainiu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Liaoning Tieren may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Liaoning Tieren could have a small edge in this match.

There are questionable in Liaoning Tieren: Tian Deao (Injury) Vagic P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Qingdao Hainiu: Song Long (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Liaoning Tieren won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Liaoning Tieren	26	7	4	15	34:47	-13	25
16	Qingdao Hainiu	26	6	3	17	34:53	-19	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Super League
16.05.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Liaoning Tieren	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Yunnan Yukun	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Liaoning Tieren	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL
- Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League
15.05.26	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	4:2 ✺
10.05.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Dalian Young Boy	3:1 ✺
06.05.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao Hainiu	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Shanghai Port	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Shandong Taishan	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Hainiu	0:1 penalties
Chinese Jia League
03.12.22	Qingdao Hainiu - Liaoning Tieren	2:0
09.11.22	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Hainiu	0:3

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