Match Info

League Two - Relegation Group - Round 28

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	15:30	Migu


	Qingdao Red Lions		Ganzhou Ruishi

	1	X	2
	1.24	4.80	10.50
	1.22	5.20	12.48
	1.33	4.39	9.4	Watch
	1.19	4.80	16.00
	1.22	4.90	11.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.64)	4.82 ↑ (3.49)	12.04 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Red Lions
73.5%

Draw
18.9%

Ganzhou Ruishi
7.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56%

26.3%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

25.1%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qingdao Red Lions's performance.

Ganzhou Ruishi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ganzhou Ruishi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qingdao Red Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ganzhou Ruishi than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ganzhou Ruishi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Qingdao Red Lions - Ganzhou Ruishi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. He Zhizhe (G) 13. Yao Zhiyu 28. Sun Xu (C) 55. Huang X. 4. Huang Yuxuan 39. Li Z. 8. Zhou Jianyi 21. Chen Zitong 14. Wen Zhengkuan 17. Chen Jiaqi 10. Osmanjan Abduhelil	14. Han Zhen (G) 19. Jin Jian 28. Shao Shuai 26. Li Boyang (C) 15. Liu Guanjun 18. Guo Fuxin 22. Abdukerim Qaharman 58. Yu Keli 11. Yu Haozhen 2. Wang Jiajun 9. Zhao Yi
Substitutes
9. Chen Shihao 11. Deng Jiajie 6. Emet E. 5. Jiang Y. 7. Li Mingfan 36. Lu Kairui 20. Mehmut Ferdanwus 26. Mei Jingxuan 33. Sun Weijia 18. Xu Jiashi 35. Yang Minjie 23. Zhang D. (G)	29. Han Fenglin 33. Li Dongnan 47. Li Z. 21. Lu Yuefeng 1. Xiao B. (G) 42. Zhang Z. 7. Zhou Bingxu
Coaches
Zhang Y.	Li Xiaoting

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Yao Zhiyu 🟨,
36', Chen Zitong 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Osmanjan Abduhelil ↓, Chen Shihao ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Li Z. ⚽, Chen Jiaqi (A),
63', Wang Jiajun ↓, Li Dongnan ↑,
63', Yu Haozhen ↓, Li Z. ↑,
65', Abdukerim Qaharman 🟨,
69', Jin Jian 🟨,
80', Abdukerim Qaharman ↓, Han Fenglin ↑,
80', Yu Keli ↓, Zhou Bingxu ↑,
85', Zhao Yi 🟨,
87', Li Z. ↓, Sun Weijia ↑,
89', Zhao Yi ↓, Zhang Z. ↑,
90', Sun Weijia 🟨,

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Qingdao Red Lions (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ganzhou Ruishi has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The betting markets point to Qingdao Red Lions as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Qingdao Red Lions has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Yi League
18.10.26	Xiamen Feilu - Qingdao Red Lions	3:0 ✺
13.10.26	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
06.10.26	Qingdao Red Lions - Wuhan Three Towns B	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Ganzhou Ruishi - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Qingdao Red Lions - Xiamen Feilu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLLW
- Ganzhou Ruishi
Chinese Yi League
17.10.26	Ganzhou Ruishi - Beijing Institute of Technology	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Ganzhou Ruishi - Nantong Haimen Codion	1:1 ✺
07.10.26	Taian Tiankuang - Ganzhou Ruishi	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Ganzhou Ruishi - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Beijing Institute of Technology - Ganzhou Ruishi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
19.09.26	Ganzhou Ruishi - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1

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