Match Info

League Two - Relegation Group - Round 26

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park (Chengdu) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	19:35	Migu


	Chengdu Rongcheng B		Qingdao Red Lions

	1	X	2
	2.10	2.95	3.25
	2.05	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.16	2.99	3.76
	2.13	2.97	3.57	Watch
	2.13	2.85	3.45
	2.02	3.21	3.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.3)	3 ↓ (3.05)	3.52 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chengdu Rongcheng B
43.6%

Draw
30.4%

Qingdao Red Lions
26%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

29.3%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.6%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chengdu Rongcheng B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qingdao Red Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng B than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qingdao Red Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chengdu Rongcheng B - Qingdao Red Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Peng Haochen (C) 59. Wang Ziteng 31. Qin Wanzhun 15. Liu Zhetao 27. Wang Yueheng 23. Li Wenle 44. Luo S. 45. Qeyser Ezimet 48. Li Moyu 7. Zhang Zili 52. Shuai Weihao	24. He Zhizhe (G) 35. Yang Minjie 6. Emet E. 55. Huang X. 4. Huang Yuxuan 22. Wang G. 21. Chen Zitong 32. You Wenjie 33. Sun Weijia 20. Mehmut Ferdanwus 17. Chen Jiaqi (C)
Substitutes
11. Chen Xiaohan 37. Du Yijinwu 41. Huang Junjie 54. Linfei H. 60. Tang Zicheng (G) 46. Wu Jiayi 6. Xu Zhenghang 34. Yang J. 16. Yao Younan 29. Yao Zixuan 56. Yi Yuchong 43. Zhang Kongzhi	9. Chen Shihao 11. Deng Jiajie 7. Li Mingfan 39. Li Z. 26. Mei Jingxuan 10. Osmanjan Abduhelil 28. Sun Xu 14. Wen Zhengkuan 18. Xu Jiashi 13. Yao Zhiyu 23. Zhang D. (G) 8. Zhou Jianyi
Coaches
Xu Jianye	Zhang Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Wang G. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Shuai Weihao (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wang G. ↓, Li Mingfan ↑,
46', You Wenjie ↓, Osmanjan Abduhelil ↑,
46', Mehmut Ferdanwus ↓, Xu Jiashi ↑,
47', Wang Ziteng 🟨,
65', Chen Zitong ↓, Zhou Jianyi ↑,
72', Luo S. 🟨,
72', Yang Minjie 🟨,
76', Sun Weijia ↓, Chen Shihao ↑,
79', Luo S. ↓, Yao Younan ↑,
79', Zhang Zili ↓, Huang Junjie ↑,
90+1', Li Moyu ↓, Yao Zixuan ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Huang X. ⚽, Xu Jiashi (A),
90+3', Huang X. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chengdu Rongcheng B
Chinese Yi League
06.10.26	Beijing Institute of Technology - Chengdu Rongcheng B	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Taian Tiankuang	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Nantong Haimen Codion - Chengdu Rongcheng B	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Jiangxi Lushan	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Chengdu Rongcheng B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTTLT
- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Yi League
06.10.26	Qingdao Red Lions - Wuhan Three Towns B	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Ganzhou Ruishi - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Qingdao Red Lions - Xiamen Feilu	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Shanghai Port B - Qingdao Red Lions	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Nantong Haimen Codion - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chengdu Rongcheng B
Chinese Yi League
31.10.26	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Beijing Institute of Technology	✺
- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Yi League
31.10.26	Wuhan Three Towns B - Qingdao Red Lions	✺

Chengdu Rongcheng B - Qingdao Red Lions